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200 Point MES Micros Runner.... AM Briefing

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☀️ AM BRIEFING The day before CPI brought high volatility and challenging trading conditions following a massive gap down and subsequent squeeze. After multiple battle plan trades hit yesterday with potential for 100-200 point runners, the market has settled back into a high timeframe range with diminished setup quality. The session emphasizes disciplined trade selection and runner management while warning that only low-probability setups remain after the major moves have already played out. Market Environment Assessment The trading environment presents significant challenges as the pre-CPI session unfolds. Key market characteristics include: High Volatility Warning: Described as a "level 10 week of level 10 weeks" where most traders should consider not trading unless they can be perfect. Post-Move Environment: Following yesterday's monster gap down and Trump tweet-driven squeeze, the major directional moves have already occurred. Range-Bound Action: Marke...

Best ES Setups... 100-Pointer Last Night

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☀️ AM BRIEFING The February 11th AM briefing focused on the critical importance of trade location analysis ahead of Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data release. The session examined multiple timeframe ranges on ES, from a tight 200-point range to a broader 108-day distribution, emphasizing how understanding chart position dramatically improves trading odds. Despite expectations for monster volatility from the delayed NFP report, the actual market reaction proved surprisingly muted with only a 20-point candle despite significantly higher-than-expected payroll numbers (130K vs 66K forecast). The analysis concluded with a bullish bias across multiple indicators while acknowledging the challenging position at the top of the higher timeframe range. Non-Farm Payroll Event Analysis The highly anticipated NFP report carried elevated expectations due to its delayed release and potential birth-death model revisions. The actual data significantly exceeded forecasts but produced minimal market im...

CPI and ES

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A Discussion on VIX and ES: Now... let's address the elephant in the room.  Look at that Expected Range! 191 points …  whaaaaaaat. Big ranges! If you traded last week, you already know big ranges are here!.   And what big, bold, and beautiful runners it produced! Multiple members with 100+ point runners. Just look at the ScoreBoard below.  Monster points accumulated … assuming you could have taken every trade, which is nearly impossible for us mortals. 📊 ES Expected Range Options-implied weekly move — SPX ATM straddle applied to ES futures Range Low 6,549.71 ← ES Price 6,741.50 → Range High 6,933.29 Implied Move ±191.79 pts Implied Move % ±2.84% Expiration Mar 13, 2026 Fetched 2026-03-07 08:49:06 Implied move from SPX ATM straddle applied to ES futures. Not financial advice. VIX9D Daily Chart I downloaded nearly 9,000 days of data from CBOE and stooq.com. CBOE VIX Data (csv download) S&P Data (c...

2 Days. 26 Minutes of ES Trading. 18 Rules Hidden in Plain Sight. Pay Attention.

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18 Rules Hidden in Plain Sight — MicrosTrader MicrosTrader.com — Live ES Futures Trading 2 Days. 26 Minutes. 18 Rules Hidden in Plain Sight. Pay Attention. 2 Full Trading Days 26 Minutes of Pure Trading 18 Rules Hidden Inside Most trading videos give you theory. This isn't that. What you're about to watch is two full days of live ES futures trading condensed into 26 minutes of pure, unfiltered reality. No dead space. No filler. Just the trades that mattered and the moments that reveal exactly how a disciplined trader thinks, reacts, and executes under pressure. Here's the thing nobody tells you. The most important lessons a trader ever learns don't come from a textbook. They don't come from a course. They don't come from a webinar where somebody draws pretty lines on a chart and calls it education. ...

MES Futures Trading System | Friday AM Briefing

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☀️ AM BRIEFING It was NFP Friday and the session began with cautionary tones about the day's volatility potential. Only two Battle Plan trades were published the night before, with the first entry sitting 114 points away from current levels. The previous day's trading had executed well with successful long positions and a profitable short that delivered 50 points. Current market conditions showed ES pushing toward the bottom of its established range, creating a challenging setup for new trades. NFP Friday calls for "Friday rules on steroids" - consider one trade maximum, protect existing weekly gains, and avoid trading entirely if up only small amounts for the week. NFP Release Reaction Analysis The Non-Farm Payroll release generated a moderate reaction with ES moving down approximately 40 points rather than the anticipated "monster candle" of 100-200 points seen on previous major data releases. The muted reaction suggested either the data was wit...

The Hannibal Lecter Principle: Understanding the "Nature" of the London Session

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☀️ AM BRIEFING Today marks the day before Non-Farm Payroll with unemployment claims at the bottom of the hour, creating what the host describes as "Level 10 trading conditions." The session opened with bulls maintaining control after two consecutive up days totaling 177 points from the low. A successful battle plan short trade executed during the London session captured 15 points before being stopped out, while a previously held long position from Tuesday closed profitably at 120 points. Economic Calendar & Market Conditions Time Event Significance Bottom of Hour Unemployment Claims Pre-NFP volatility setup Friday Morning Non-Farm Payroll Major market mover - Level 10 conditions Current Market State: Bulls in control after 177-point rally from recent lows Positioning: Trading in middle of super high timeframe range Session Focus: Day before NFP creates heightened volatility expectations Battle Plan Trade Execution Review A textbook short setup m...