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Trader Or Gambler?

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A Recap of Today's Price Action & Setups: See the full Battle Plan . LEVERAGE: Did you know that trading 1 MES is equal to trading 50 shares of SPY? ▶️ $25,000 in Notional Value Did you know that trading 1 ES is equal to trading 500 shares of SPY? ▶️ $250,000 in Notional Value.  If you trade 4 ES, that's $1M you are slinging!  These ARE BIG contracts.  Respect the risk! TIP : Did you know you could trade shares of SPY with our system? Instead of going "long" with 1 MES (50 SPY Shares), you could trade SMALLER and enter with 10 shares of SPY. Of course, you would need to be aware of PDT rules .  GAMBLER OR TRADER? THE GREAT TRADER TEST: Today was the  Day Before OPEX . A day with a  Level 10 Warning Label  for "squirrelly" price action where soul-crushing reversal candles are the norm. The market will always offer something tempting.  It is never short on temptations.  But here is what separates disciplined traders f...

MES ES DAILY TRADE PLAN

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☀️ AM BRIEFING S&P 500 futures are trading within a broader horizontal range, though near-term price action has tilted bearish as the market remains below key technical benchmarks including the 2026 open and the Bull-Bear line. Traders face heightened volatility amid retail earnings, scheduled economic data, geopolitical tensions, and the approach of option expiration. The analysis emphasizes disciplined, level-driven execution and strict stop management rather than initiating trades in the middle of established ranges. With sentiment leaning negative, the preferred strategy calls for patience, awaiting deeper pullbacks or confirmed reclaims before establishing new long positions. AM Briefing: SPX Futures Market Analysis and Battle Plans Opening Overview The current SPX futures market is characterized by a state of balance within a broader horizontal range, though short-term momentum currently favors bearish outcomes. While the market is positioned smac...

MES Micros Trade Plan for Wed Feb 18

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☀️ AM BRIEFING U.S. equity index futures entered Wednesday’s session amid elevated volatility following a turbulent post-holiday trading day. Although the broader technical structure continues to reflect lower highs and lower lows, bulls demonstrated resilience by defending key value areas into the close. Market participants are closely focused on the release of the Federal Open Market Committee minutes, expected to serve as the day’s primary volatility catalyst. Traders are emphasizing disciplined risk management, highlighting defined technical pivots and smaller position sizing in response to expanding price ranges. Opening Remarks Good morning. The market environment for Wednesday, February 18, is defined by high volatility and “big candle” price action following a volatile post-holiday session. While bears technically remain in control with a pattern of lower highs and lower lows, bulls have shown meaningful resilience. Price closed above key half-back lev...

MES MICROS FUTURES TRADE PLAN

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☀️ AM BRIEFING SPX futures are trading at the 100-day value area low following a sharp rotation from last week’s value area top, placing the market at a technically significant support zone. While a downward-sloping VWAP suggests continued bearish control, historical price behavior at these levels has often produced sharp counter-trend rallies, complicating new short positioning. The strategy outlined emphasizes disciplined execution through “Battle Plan 2,” laddered entries near strong levels, and structured risk management using a three-contract framework. Beyond technical factors, the briefing underscores the importance of behavioral discipline, arguing that trading performance is directly tied to non-trading habits and mental preparation. Battle Plan and Market Context We are currently positioned at a very important area in the SPX futures market. After a long holiday weekend, price is sitting at the 100-day value area low (VAL). Just last week, we were ...

ES EMINI TRADE PLAN

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☀️ AM BRIEFING U.S. equity index futures retreated from repeated attempts at all-time highs, triggering what the analysis describes as a “liquidation break” that carried prices from value area highs to value area lows. With futures trading below both the bull-bear line and the 2026 opening price, the environment is characterized as structurally fragile for long positions. A disciplined, scenario-based “Battle Plan” framework guided trade execution, emphasizing patience and predefined support levels rather than reactive counter-trend entries. Meanwhile, Consumer Price Index data released in line with expectations generated only moderate volatility, failing to alter the broader technical posture of the market. Opening Remarks This AM Briefing focuses on recent market price action, particularly the shift from repeated failed attempts at new all-time highs to a significant liquidation break. The goal is not to predict the exact timing of these breaks—which is nea...
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☀️ AM BRIEFING In the February 12 AM Briefing, Micros Trader outlined a disciplined approach to managing runner positions amid a consolidating E-mini S&P 500 market near all-time highs. With the market positioned between the recent Non-Farm Payroll report and the upcoming Consumer Price Index release, the session was characterized as a transitional “sandwich day” lacking fresh high-quality trade levels. Emphasis was placed on a three-contract system and structured trailing stops to capture extended moves while minimizing stress during volatility. While bulls continue to press incremental highs, the analysis warned that failure to produce a decisive breakout could result in a sharp liquidation break, reinforcing the need for patience and structural discipline. Opening Remarks Good morning, and welcome to the AM Briefing for February 12th. Today’s focus centers on two primary themes: runner management and understanding the current consolidation in the E-...

ES Emini Day Trading Plan: Where Are We?

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☀️ AM BRIEFING U.S. equity index futures remained resilient following a stronger-than-expected Non-Farm Payrolls report, with job growth of 130,000 surpassing forecasts of 66,000 but generating only a muted market response. In the February 11 AM Briefing, Micros Trader emphasized that while bullish momentum persists—supported by price holding above VWAP and consolidating in upper distribution—the market is approaching significant high-timeframe resistance. Key technical levels include the top of a 108-day range and major daily trend lines, raising the potential for either a liquidation break or a false breakout trap. Despite the prevailing uptrend, the analysis cautions traders against initiating new long positions at elevated levels, underscoring trade location as the primary determinant of risk-adjusted opportunity. AM Briefing: Trade Location and Non-Farm Payroll Analysis Opening Remarks In this AM Briefing, Micros Trader focuses on the intersection of...