ES Mini | MES Micro Futures Trading Strategy & S&P Trading Room

☀️ AM BRIEFING "Know that the Lord he is God. He is who made us. We are his. We are his people and the sheep of his pasture... His steadfast love endures forever and his faithfulness for all generations." Market Context and Economic Indicators The market enters the Friday session following a volatile overnight move, marked by a 118-point surge. This price action moved us back into the upper distribution from the previous day. While the "Battle Plan" long entries triggered near the 72 level were successful, the significant overnight extension makes new entries increasingly risky due to the high probability of chasing longs. The primary technical focus is the critical range between 6883 and 7041 — a zone that served as the main trading area for the past two weeks before being lost. Currently, price action still suggests a "laddering down" structure, even after the overnight bounce. Friday’s AM Briefing is situated in a ...

☀️ AM BRIEFING Opening Remarks: Extreme Volatility and Risk Environment The current trading environment is defined by extreme volatility, best described as “Level 10” risk conditions. Market data confirms a high Average True Range (ATR) environment, with individual 3-minute candles frequently exceeding 15 points. These conditions resemble the intensity typically seen during major economic releases, such as Non-Farm Payrolls. A core market thesis is that both the ES Emini and the Nasdaq have spent extended time below the 2026 opening price, commonly referred to as the yearly bull-bear line. This behavior suggests that sellers are currently in control, even if intermittent rallies attempt to regain footing. The primary recommendation in this environment is professional discipline, specifically the discipline of withholding trade. When price action does not align with a written and predefined trade plan, the correct decision may be to stand aside. While ce...

A Recap of Today's Price Action & Setups: See the FULL Battleplan Battle Plan (1️⃣)  Battle Plan (1️⃣) activated late last night for a 12-point move. I noted, " Reclaiming the 6950ish Strong Level might be a challenge. " and it was.... took multiple attempts.  As I often say, you can't hold yourself responsible for missing a trade that happens while you're asleep. This one was for our international members... US-based traders were sound asleep. MES Micros Setup (1️⃣)   What About Zoom? What Did I Say Over and Over Today? From the Zoom transcript: "Do not trade this." "I will not be trading it. I will not be trading. I'm not trading right now. I'm going to watch for the fascination of price action." "Stand down. Don't trade this. Don't trade this." "I think the review is gonna be super easy today. Three 15-point candles, don't trade." "Don't trade this." "S...

U.S. equity futures entered the February 4th session in a neutral posture, with the Nasdaq continuing to underperform relative to broader indices. Key economic data points, including ISM Services PMI and ADP employment figures, are expected to guide short-term price action, while after-hours earnings from Google could trigger volatility in tech names. Micros Trader emphasized cautious execution, urging traders to avoid initiating positions mid-range and instead wait for confirmation near predefined zones. The briefing reiterated that disciplined exits, particularly when trades become invalidated, are critical to preserving capital in a mixed and uncertain market environment. Opening Remarks In today’s February 4th AM Briefing, Micros Trader outlines a market that appears to be transitioning after a period of heightened volatility. Several indices show strength, but the Nasdaq (NQ) stands out as a persistent weak link. It remains below critical historical levels, including its ...

Market Briefing and Volatility Analysis: The Asia Session Anomaly Executive Summary The current market environment is characterized by extreme volatility, punctuated by a significant "Asia Session Anomaly." With a 98.5-point range, the recent Asia session stands as the largest since the previous spring. Market positioning is currently in the center of its two-week range, suggesting a high-risk profile for new entries. Strategic focus remains on "ladder down" sequences and the 2026 RTH opening price as a critical bull-bear line. Market Context and Volatility Analysis Analysis of nearly two years of data reveals the recent Asia session is a statistical outlier with a 98.5-point magnitude. This volatility extends beyond equity futures into metals and Bitcoin, which may serve as leading indicators for equity gap-down moves. Technical Analysis and Trend Identification Primary Trend: Descending from the overnight all-...

☀️ AM BRIEFING Microstrader AM Strategy and Market Analysis Executive Summary This briefing synthesizes the strategic framework and market outlook provided by the Microstrader AM session. The core thesis centers on a disciplined, "Battle Plan"-driven approach to trading, emphasizing the use of pre-defined "strong range" levels for precision entries and exits. Key takeaways include the prioritization of risk management during high-volatility events, the psychological necessity of resisting FOMO, and the importance of "doing nothing" once daily profit targets are met. A primary focus is currently on "Battle Plan Number One," identified as the "Last Stand" for bulls. Strategic Trading Framework The Microstrader system relies on a structured "Battle Plan" established weekly and reviewed daily, prioritizing specific price levels over reactive trading. Core Componen...