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MES Micros Trade Plan for Wed Feb 18

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☀️ AM BRIEFING U.S. equity index futures entered Wednesday’s session amid elevated volatility following a turbulent post-holiday trading day. Although the broader technical structure continues to reflect lower highs and lower lows, bulls demonstrated resilience by defending key value areas into the close. Market participants are closely focused on the release of the Federal Open Market Committee minutes, expected to serve as the day’s primary volatility catalyst. Traders are emphasizing disciplined risk management, highlighting defined technical pivots and smaller position sizing in response to expanding price ranges. Opening Remarks Good morning. The market environment for Wednesday, February 18, is defined by high volatility and “big candle” price action following a volatile post-holiday session. While bears technically remain in control with a pattern of lower highs and lower lows, bulls have shown meaningful resilience. Price closed above key half-back lev...
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MES MICROS FUTURES TRADE PLAN

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☀️ AM BRIEFING SPX futures are trading at the 100-day value area low following a sharp rotation from last week’s value area top, placing the market at a technically significant support zone. While a downward-sloping VWAP suggests continued bearish control, historical price behavior at these levels has often produced sharp counter-trend rallies, complicating new short positioning. The strategy outlined emphasizes disciplined execution through “Battle Plan 2,” laddered entries near strong levels, and structured risk management using a three-contract framework. Beyond technical factors, the briefing underscores the importance of behavioral discipline, arguing that trading performance is directly tied to non-trading habits and mental preparation. Battle Plan and Market Context We are currently positioned at a very important area in the SPX futures market. After a long holiday weekend, price is sitting at the 100-day value area low (VAL). Just last week, we were ...
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ES EMINI TRADE PLAN

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☀️ AM BRIEFING U.S. equity index futures retreated from repeated attempts at all-time highs, triggering what the analysis describes as a “liquidation break” that carried prices from value area highs to value area lows. With futures trading below both the bull-bear line and the 2026 opening price, the environment is characterized as structurally fragile for long positions. A disciplined, scenario-based “Battle Plan” framework guided trade execution, emphasizing patience and predefined support levels rather than reactive counter-trend entries. Meanwhile, Consumer Price Index data released in line with expectations generated only moderate volatility, failing to alter the broader technical posture of the market. Opening Remarks This AM Briefing focuses on recent market price action, particularly the shift from repeated failed attempts at new all-time highs to a significant liquidation break. The goal is not to predict the exact timing of these breaks—which is nea...
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☀️ AM BRIEFING In the February 12 AM Briefing, Micros Trader outlined a disciplined approach to managing runner positions amid a consolidating E-mini S&P 500 market near all-time highs. With the market positioned between the recent Non-Farm Payroll report and the upcoming Consumer Price Index release, the session was characterized as a transitional “sandwich day” lacking fresh high-quality trade levels. Emphasis was placed on a three-contract system and structured trailing stops to capture extended moves while minimizing stress during volatility. While bulls continue to press incremental highs, the analysis warned that failure to produce a decisive breakout could result in a sharp liquidation break, reinforcing the need for patience and structural discipline. Opening Remarks Good morning, and welcome to the AM Briefing for February 12th. Today’s focus centers on two primary themes: runner management and understanding the current consolidation in the E-...
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ES Emini Day Trading Plan: Where Are We?

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☀️ AM BRIEFING U.S. equity index futures remained resilient following a stronger-than-expected Non-Farm Payrolls report, with job growth of 130,000 surpassing forecasts of 66,000 but generating only a muted market response. In the February 11 AM Briefing, Micros Trader emphasized that while bullish momentum persists—supported by price holding above VWAP and consolidating in upper distribution—the market is approaching significant high-timeframe resistance. Key technical levels include the top of a 108-day range and major daily trend lines, raising the potential for either a liquidation break or a false breakout trap. Despite the prevailing uptrend, the analysis cautions traders against initiating new long positions at elevated levels, underscoring trade location as the primary determinant of risk-adjusted opportunity. AM Briefing: Trade Location and Non-Farm Payroll Analysis Opening Remarks In this AM Briefing, Micros Trader focuses on the intersection of...
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ES EMINI DAILY TRADE PLAN

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☀️ AM BRIEFING U.S. equity futures continue to trade near record highs following a rapid two-day advance, underscoring firm bullish control but also rising structural risk. With ES positioned in an upper distribution zone, traders are facing compressed volatility and fewer high-quality entry opportunities. The approach of major economic releases, including Retail Sales, Non-Farm Payrolls, and CPI, has increased the likelihood of sharp liquidation-driven pullbacks. Market participants are being urged to exercise patience, favor deeper retracements, and avoid counter-trend trades amid heightened event risk. Opening Remarks and Market Overview This AM Briefing outlines the current market environment, which can best be described as a two-day sprint that has carried ES to the doorstep of new all-time highs. Bulls remain firmly in control, but the market is now entering a dangerous zone due to proximity to major economic catalysts, including Non-Farm Payroll and CP...
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☀️ AM BRIEFING Opening Overview The Micros Trader AM Briefing for Monday, February 9, outlines a market currently trapped in a high-timeframe consolidation phase. Price action is characterized by a “monster” sideways move occurring within a 108-day Point of Control (POC). After last week printed a doji candle on the weekly chart, the market remains stuck in the middle of a multi-day range, lacking the momentum typically seen near range extremes. Despite this range-bound environment, recent tactical executions delivered strong results. Battle Plan 2 and the Speculator Special captured roughly 60 points on the short side. Battle Plan 1 also triggered successfully on the long side, delivering close to 20 points. Looking ahead, the upcoming week is back-loaded with major economic data, including Retail Sales, Non-Farm Payrolls on Wednesday, and CPI on Friday. These events are expected to provide the next meaningful directional catalyst. Market Context an...
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