ES MES Futures Trading: Key Levels, Tips, Technical Analysis. Tuesday "AM Briefing"

Preparing ES Emini & MES Micros Traders
For Our Emini and Micros Futures Trading Room



ES/MES futures traders are eyeing key technical levels this morning, with bearish control but a high risk of short covering. Market participants are focused on upcoming economic reports, including Consumer Confidence and PCE, alongside major earnings from Nvidia and Home Depot. Traders are advised to watch liquidity grabs, trendline retests, and overnight highs as potential trading setups. As always, patience and discipline remain crucial in navigating today’s volatile session. RESOURCES:
            
▶️ Free "Futures Foundations Course"             
▶️ Membership Options      
▶️Youtube Community Updates             
▶️ Website for ES MES Trading Room (Back Up)


TRANSCRIPT:

Welcome ES MES Futures Traders

Welcome to the AM briefing video presented by MicrosTrader.com, where together we trade better.

Good morning everybody, happy Tuesday, February 25th.

This Week's Scripture

1 John 3:16 – "This is how we have come to know love: He laid down His life for us. We should also lay down our lives for our brothers."

Tip of The Day

Draw your entry, wait, and repeat. I did a video on that yesterday on my channel, and I'll make sure to link to it below.

News Drivers

Today’s Tuesday news drivers:

  • 30 minutes after the market opens, we have Consumer Confidence and the Richmond Manufacturing Index.
  • All eyes are on Nvidia tomorrow and PCE on Friday.
  • Earnings today: Home Depot, AMC, and Krispy Kreme.
  • And we salute you, Mr. Dozen Donut Eater!

Today's Reminders

We will do our mental training 30 minutes before the market opens, review our daily reminders, and map out our trades. We'll be live on Friday.

This is the thumbnail for yesterday’s video where I showed how we waited patiently, got our entry, and made our day.

ES Chart - Where Are We At?

Because of that video, I will not be reviewing yesterday’s trade. We had two beautiful core strategy entries:

  • A long trade Justin took, which ran for 40 points.
  • A short trade that missed me by two ticks and also went for 40 points.

Oh well, there's another high-probability trade around the corner!

The key view that matters: We’ve got this 30-minute trendline, and we’ve gone a bit parabolic. Be cautious with long positions.

When can you long? I like to see us dip below a session pull of liquidity, come back in with a vengeance, and then go long.

Am I long at this exact moment? No. I had Bible study with my wife this morning and was taking care of things as a father. Sometimes you miss entries, and that's okay. Otherwise, I would have been long on the retest of yesterday’s low, with a stop just underneath it.

Right now, the bears are in control. Will this just be a liquidity grab, followed by a rally back up? Very possible.

Next Levels to Watch

The next level I’m looking at is Monday afternoon’s high. Do we get over that, maybe retest it, and move to the trendline? We’ll see.

When RTH volume comes in, we could also grab the overnight high, slam back down, and get going.

Let’s drop down timeframes and turn on our strong levels. We have a “Watch Out Below” level, which I’ve now moved under the overnight low.

It depends on what real volume does, but this setup is clear. If I had taken the long off the low, I’d be in a great trade right now. Oh well, there’s always another high-probability trade ahead!

Indices Check

  • The Dow is already above the halfback of yesterday.
  • Other indices are still in the lower distribution.
  • NQ is peeking its head up, trying to get its overnight high.
  • Overnight high is the first destination, halfback is the second, and the afternoon high is the third.

Did I Miss My Entry?

Maybe! If we open up and keep skyrocketing, it happens.

Bull-Bear Scorecard

We haven’t done the Bull-Bear scorecard in a while, but let’s talk through it:

  • Overnight trendline: Not sure if there is one since we've broken previous lines.
  • Overnight high is right at the bull-bear line.
  • Session stacking: Bears still in control.
  • VWAP: We’re above it.
  • Indices: Bulls have some strength.

The biggest takeaway: The risk of short covering is high. In a downtrending market, that risk grows every day.

If this thing starts creating backsides to the north, be careful shorting!

Final Thoughts

I can't wait to trade live with my traders. I’ll see you 30 minutes before the market opens for our mental training. Stay green, my friends!

To learn more about our group, visit MicrosTrader.com.

MORE INFORMATION:

SUMMARY:

  • ✅ Market Overview: ES/MES futures are in a key technical position, with bears in control but potential for a strong rebound.
  • ✅ Key Levels to Watch: Monday’s afternoon high, overnight high, and major trendlines will dictate market direction.
  • ✅ Trade Strategy: Look for liquidity grabs followed by strong reversals for high-probability setups.
  • ✅ News & Earnings: Consumer Confidence, Richmond Manufacturing Index, Nvidia earnings, and PCE are key catalysts.
  • ✅ Trader Mindset: Stay patient, manage risk, and be prepared for short-covering rallies.




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