Thu ES MES Micros Technical Analysis 02/13/2025

Preparing ES Emini & MES Micros Traders
For Our Emini and Micros Futures Trading Room



Traders are facing challenging conditions as the market remains locked in a choppy trading range, mirroring price levels from last November. With today’s PPI report making little impact, focus remains on key support and resistance levels, particularly the bull/bear line at 16.25. Traders are advised to manage risk carefully, taking breaks after significant wins or losses and scaling down positions upon return. As volatility continues, experienced traders stress the importance of patience, discipline, and avoiding forced trades in uncertain conditions. RESOURCES:
            
▶️ Free "Futures Foundations Course"             
▶️ Membership Options      
▶️Youtube Community Updates             
▶️ Website for ES MES Trading Room (Back Up)


TRANSCRIPT:

Welcome ES MES Futures Traders

Welcome to the AM Briefing video, presented by MicrosTrader.com, where together we trade better!

Good morning, traders! Happy Thursday, February 14th, and a final reminder that tomorrow is Valentine's Day. If you don’t know what to get your wife, handwrite her an old-school love letter. Write a beautiful letter to your daughters as well, telling them how much you love, appreciate, and are proud of them. Express your excitement for their future—nothing beats a heartfelt, handwritten letter.

This Week’s Verse

Matthew 22:37

"He said to them, ‘Love the Lord your God with all your heart, with all your soul, and with all your mind.’"

God wants you to love Him with your mind as well. It’s okay to question things—He wants you to explore, research, and seek the truth. Does the evidence of the Bible point to God and Jesus? He wants you to love Him intellectually too.

Tip of The Day

Twitter is littered with people blowing accounts—max drawdowns for two or three days in a row. We use these as case studies in our group to remind ourselves of good trading practices.

What to do after a big loss or big win?

  • Take a Break – If you have a big losing or big winning day, your emotions are likely wrecked. Take the next day off, or even the next week off, depending on the severity. The goal is to reset emotionally before jumping back in.
  • Trade Smaller When You Return – If you had a big win, don’t give it all back quickly. If you had a big loss, don’t try to make it back on one trade. Spread it out over several days or even a month.
  • One Trading Error and You’re Done – When you come back, one mistake means you stop trading for the day. We need perfection. Even one minor error should be your signal to step away. Protect yourself from yourself.
  • Prop Firm Accounts – People are blowing 20 prop accounts at a time. Go get the free Foundations Course at MicrosTrader.com. It’s not the most popular information, but it’s what you need to hear. You have not earned the right to scale yet.

News Drivers: PPI & Market Movement

Today is Thursday, and we’re watching:

  • PPI (Producer Price Index)
  • Unemployment Claims

I call this an orange day—the day after CPI. The PPI number holds weight, but the market reacts more to CPI. Will today be dangerous to trade? Very possible.

Yesterday’s Review

Yesterday, we saw a huge drop (vomit move)—what do you do? Stay out of the way! If someone says they made money on that move, they were gambling.

If you have TradingView, check the 1-second chart—there were zero transactions in certain areas, meaning no real liquidity.

How I Traded Yesterday

  • ✔️ Took one long trade—I was only looking for longs.
  • ✔️ Missed another long because I wanted more liquidity grabs.
  • ✔️ Powell was speaking—a red-folder event. It’s okay to be greedy and wait for better setups during these events.

ES Chart - Where Are We?

We are stuck in a massive chop zone. If you go back to November, we are at the same price level. We’ve made highs, we’ve made lows, but overall, we’re still chopping.

Do I want to trade in this chop zone?

Not really. The traders forcing trades here are hurting themselves.

  • 🔹 Bull/Bear Line: 16.25
  • 🔹 Daily Gap Below: 5909
  • 🔹 If we break under 16.25, we could see a meaningful downside move.

The PPI reaction was muted—we are still inside the overnight range, meaning no big directional move yet.

Final Thoughts

If you’re in my group, we’ll be live at the top of the hour for our mental training session. Then, we’ll update our charts and get ready to trade.

If you’re not in my group, good luck trading today! Stay green, my friends.

To learn more about our group, visit:

SUMMARY:

  • ✅ Take Breaks After Big Wins/Losses – After a big winning or losing day, step away from trading to reset emotionally before returning.
  • ✅ Trade Smaller on Return – Reduce position size when resuming trading—don't try to recover losses in one trade.
  • ✅ One Mistake and You’re Done – The first trading error after returning means it's time to stop trading for the day.
  • ✅ Avoid Choppy Markets – The market is currently in a chop zone, making trading difficult and forcing trades is risky.
  • ✅ Key Levels to Watch – The Bull/Bear line at 16.25 and the daily gap at 5909 are key levels to monitor for potential moves.


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