Tue ES MES Micros Technical Analysis 02/11/2025

Preparing ES Emini & MES Micros Traders
For Our Emini and Micros Futures Trading Room



In today’s market briefing, traders are closely watching Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s speech, which is expected to bring volatility to an otherwise range-bound session. With risk management as the primary focus, traders are reminded that no single trade should significantly impact their capital, reinforcing the importance of proper leverage and trade sizing. Key technical levels indicate a potential downside move if the 67 level is breached, with a target around the 50% mark of the New Week Opening Gap. Meanwhile, anticipation for tomorrow’s CPI report suggests the market may remain in a holding pattern until a clearer economic picture emerges. RESOURCES:
            
▶️ Free "Futures Foundations Course"             
▶️ Membership Options      
▶️Youtube Community Updates             
▶️ Website for ES MES Trading Room (Back Up)


TRANSCRIPT:

AM Briefing Video – Presented by MicrosTrader.com

Where Together We Trade Better

Good Morning, Traders!

Welcome to today’s AM Briefing!

This Week’s Scripture

"He said to them, ‘Love the Lord your God with all your heart, with all your soul, and with all your mind.’" – Matthew 22:37

Absolutely beautiful—I love it!


Tip of the Day: No Single Trade Should Hurt You

A profitable or losing trade is random. You don’t know with 100% certainty if a trade will be a winner or a loser. However, if you have a high-probability system like we do, you can be confident in the long run.

But even with confidence, you should never risk more than you can afford to lose. If someone told me to bet my entire home on a single entry, the answer would be a hard no! A single trade should never have the power to financially hurt you.

So, how much leverage should you use?

  • Enough that you aren’t nervous about the trade.
  • If you feel uneasy, you might be overleveraging or prediction trading.
  • Risk management is key!

What can you control?

  • Where you place your order
  • How large your order is
  • How you manage the trade

Think about the following:

  • Where is your stop?
  • If price moves against you, do you adjust for a half-loss or break-even trade?
  • If price moves in your favor, will you take some profits or leave a runner?

No trade is guaranteed, but as a professional risk manager, you should know how to lose better than anyone else. This is what we drill into our heads every day in our trading group.


Today's News Drivers

πŸ“… Tuesday, February 11

  • Fed Chair Jerome Powell speaks 30 minutes after market open
  • I have this marked as a green trading day, meaning we could see some increased volatility.

We'll navigate it as best as we can and see if it injects movement into the market.


Live Streaming Update

I will attempt to live stream today but will not be using my main iMac. Instead, I’ll stream from my M1 Mac laptop. I ran a test yesterday, and I think it will work.

If you’re interested in joining us, check us out on YouTube.

  • We do this every day!

Today's Schedule:

  • 30 minutes before market open: Mental training session
  • 9:20 AM ET: Live on YouTube – market updates and reminders

Yesterday’s Trade Review & Market Structure

  • Small Member Challenge: What was the trade of the day yesterday?
  • Hint: It was a front-side base trade.

If you're a member, post it on the trading floor!

I personally did not take a trade yesterday—I didn’t get my setup. The market hung, then shot up, then hung again—not my kind of day.

By the afternoon, I wasn’t even at my computer. I know how much mental capital I have for the week, and I chose to step away instead of forcing trades.


Key Trading Levels

  • πŸ“ Critical support: 67 level
  • If we break below it, we target lower prices.
  • πŸ“ New Week Opening Gap: 50% level at 13.50
  • If I go short, this will be my primary target.

If the price action builds downward momentum, we could fill older gaps and test the 2025 opening price.


Looking Ahead – CPI Tomorrow

  • I will only trade the morning session today
  • I expect low volatility in the afternoon
  • The market is likely waiting for tomorrow’s CPI report

This market is coiling for a massive move.

  • Will we break higher to new all-time highs?
  • Or will we reject lower and fill the open gap at 5909?

The 67 level is my key indicator—if we break below it, I'll be targeting levels further below.


Join Us Live on YouTube!

I’ll be live this morning—if my laptop holds up! If you’re interested in trading with us daily, check out MicrosTrader.com.

MORE INFORMATION:


SUMMARY:

  • Risk Management is Key – No single trade should financially hurt you. If you’re overleveraging or feeling nervous about a trade, reconsider your risk exposure.
  • News Drivers Today – Powell speaks 30 minutes after market open—expect potential volatility.
  • Market Recap & Trade Review – Yesterday was an inside day, and the multi-day POC was tested. I did not take a trade as I didn’t see my setup.
  • Key Trading Levels & Targets – The 67 level is critical—a break below it targets lower prices, while 50% of the New Week Opening Gap at 13.50 is my primary downside target.
  • Live Stream & Future Plans – I’ll attempt to live stream this morning from my M1 Mac laptop. I’m also considering upgrading my 11-year-old iMac.

Happy trading! πŸš€



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