ES MES Futures Trading: Key Levels, Tips, Technical Analysis. Saturday "AM Briefing"

Preparing ES Emini & MES Micros Traders
For Our Emini and Micros Futures Trading Room



The ES/MES futures market found itself back in the middle of its range after a bounce from the lower levels, with traders eyeing key six-month POC and value areas for guidance. As volatility persists, market participants are bracing for potential disruptions from Friday’s Non-Farm Payroll report and Jerome Powell’s speech. Traders are urged to remain disciplined, avoiding premature trades in a market that could break out in either direction. With a structured approach, MicrosTrader.com members are leveraging strong levels and maintaining a tactical edge. RESOURCES:
            
▶️ Free "Futures Foundations Course"             
▶️ Membership Options      
▶️Youtube Community Updates             
▶️ Website for ES MES Trading Room (Back Up)


TRANSCRIPT:

ES/MES Futures Trading Update

Welcome ES/MES Futures Traders

AM Briefing Video

Presented by MicrosTrader.com, where together we trade better!

Happy Saturday, March 1st—the first day of a new month!

Scripture of the Week

Ephesians 4:32

"And be kind and compassionate to one another, forgiving one another, just as God also forgave you in Christ."

I want to expand on this verse—be kind and compassionate not just to others but also to yourself. It is important to extend forgiveness and grace inwardly as well.

Tip of The Day

  • When bears control, longs are risky.
  • When at the bottom of the range, shorts are risky.
  • Best approach: Wait for the trade to present itself.

At the bottom of the range, it’s usually a good place to look for longs. However, with bearish control, sometimes stepping back and waiting for a proper setup is the best move.

News Drivers for the Week

  • Expect green trading days early in the week, but Thursday could turn red due to Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) approaching.
  • Friday is NFP day, and we’ll be live for the NFP candle—watch the fireworks together!
  • Jerome Powell speaks during New York lunch on Friday.
  • Goal: Trade effectively early to secure profits and watch price action toward the weekend.

Earnings & Market Seasonality

  • This week’s earnings focus on retail sector performance.
  • March seasonality suggests potential market turmoil.
  • We just had a strong short-covering rally, but trends indicate possible downturns.
  • Our approach: Trade based on levels, trends, and trade locations.

ES Chart: Where Are We?

Weekly Regression Channel

On Friday, we analyzed a weekly regression channel on the ES. We were at the bottom of a multi-session range—historically a place to look for longs. Eventually, the market will break out, which is why we keep a runner on multiple-contract trades. As of now, we are back in the middle of the range.

Daily Chart Analysis

We are currently in the middle of the range from September to today. Key levels for next week:

  • Six-month Point of Control (POC)
  • Six-month Value Area Low (VAL)
  • Six-month Value Area High (VAH)

MES/ES Chart: Yesterday’s Review

  • Strong levels held up well.
  • Never counter a short-covering rally.
  • If short-covering risk is high, either get in or stay out.
  • Friday’s session saw massive volatility with 8+ point candles on a 3-minute chart.
  • A backside long trade resulted in a break-even outcome but was a solid setup.

Marking Key Levels

  • Friday’s POC marked at 4987.5
  • Single prints left behind indicate areas of interest
  • Thursday’s POC was tagged exactly—validating our levels
  • Key support & resistance levels updated for next week

Trading Strategy Moving Forward

  • Trading requires sharp focus and discipline.
  • Sunday’s open could be interesting—we may live stream.
  • Afternoon trading sessions will be streamed live when conditions align—subscribe for alerts.

Join the Trading Community!

🔹 Take the Trader Test: Go to MicrosTrader.com and access the free Foundations Course.

🔹 Membership Benefits: Gain access to the Core Strategy Academy, trading indicators, and a professional community.

🔹 Stay Disciplined & Stay Green!

MORE INFORMATION:

SUMMARY:

  • ✅ Key Market Analysis: The market bounced off the bottom of the range and is now back in the middle. **Short-covering rallies should not be countered.**
  • ✅ Major News Events: This week includes Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Friday and a speech by Jerome Powell, which could bring volatility.
  • ✅ Key Trading Levels: Six-month POC, VAL, and VAH define market structure. **Friday’s POC was tagged exactly, reinforcing its importance.**
  • ✅ Trading Discipline & Strategy: Volatility requires **strict discipline and level-based trading.** Afternoon sessions will be **streamed live based on trading conditions.**
  • ✅ Community & Resources: Traders can **join the MicrosTrader community** for free through the **Trader Test and Foundations Course**.


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