ES MES Futures Trading: Key Levels, Tips, Technical Analysis. Friday "AM Briefing"
Preparing ES Emini & MES Micros Traders
For Our Emini and Micros Futures Trading Room
For Our Emini and Micros Futures Trading Room
The markets braced for heightened volatility as Nonfarm Payroll Friday unfolded, with traders navigating rapid price swings. ATR indicators flashed warnings as consecutive 15-point candles pushed leverage limits, making disciplined trade selection essential. Meanwhile, the LEAP trading competition showcased stark contrasts—top traders raked in millions on Bitcoin and oil, while a participant who made no trades still ranked in the top 20%. As the week ends, seasoned traders emphasize capital preservation, choosing to close green rather than force trades in an unpredictable market environment. RESOURCES:
TRANSCRIPT:
Good Morning Traders – Welcome to SPX Futures Radio!
Welcome to SPX Futures Radio – Live Trading Edition, where the markets are hot, the fills are fast, and the weather is always 75 and sunny! On the mic today is your TikTok rock jock, the one and only Mighty Macro, bringing you all the tick-by-tick action.
Check your calendars because it’s Nonfarm Payroll Day, traders! You might want to grab an extra espresso shot because this market is going to rock and roll. One moment, you're riding high, and the next, you're wondering why your stop just got vaporized.
Trade Smart & Respect Volatility
- Know your levels.
- Respect the volatility.
- For the love of price action – watch those wicks!
You don’t want to be the one chasing a breakout that turns into a fake-out. The charts are up, the coffee is hot, and we’re about to open the floodgates for another wild ride in the futures market. So strap in, set your stops, and ride the waves!
Scripture of the Day
“Be kind and compassionate to one another, forgiving one another, just as God also forgave you in Christ.”
Ephesians 4:32
Absolutely beautiful.
Today's Trading Tip – The Power of Fewer Entries
Do you find yourself impulsively entering trades? If so, consider mapping out your trades before entry.
A great way to increase the seriousness of each trade is to limit the number of entries you allow yourself:
- One entry per day.
- One entry in the morning, one in the afternoon.
- Or even one entry per hour.
The fewer trades you allow yourself, the more value each entry will hold. If you know you can enter 50 times today, then each trade feels disposable, making it easier to trade recklessly. Wild cowboy trading kills accounts.
The best way to improve consistency is to treat each entry as a high-value decision. Make sure it is well thought out, mapped out, and planned.
Nonfarm Payroll Friday – High Volatility Warning
Yesterday was an orange day, if not a full red day. Today is a Level 10 Friday, and Friday trading rules are in effect.
If you had a great week, congratulations!
This has been some of the highest volatility price action we’ve seen in recent memory.
If you blew up your account, stop making reckless mistakes.
And if you got lucky and made a lot of money, don’t assume that’s repeatable—it will catch up to you eventually.
Today is a perfect no-trade day for many. Sometimes, the best trade is no trade at all. Watch price action, study the charts, and avoid unnecessary risk.
Yesterday's Market Action – ATR & Volatility Metrics
On a 3-minute chart, there were 98-point moves and multiple 15+ point candles.
If there are 3+ consecutive 15-point candles, it’s time to shut it down.
Most traders do not have the leverage metrics to handle that level of volatility.
ATR Indicator & Stop Loss Considerations
- ATR at 3.6 is calm price action.
- ATR above 8 is a warning.
- ATR near 10+ means trading should be avoided or minimized.
Key Market Levels & Potential Moves
What’s Next for Price Action?
- We are testing strong levels—this is where bulls must defend.
- If we break below these key levels, expect a significant drop.
- Watching for a flush down and a reclaim of key levels for a possible long setup.
LEAP Trading Competition Results
The LEAP trading competition results are in:
- First place: $3,000 cash prize (Ben Bernanke – made $13M).
- Top traders mostly traded Bitcoin & Oil.
- One trader had only one losing trade—insane discipline!
Final Thoughts – Stay Green, Stay Smart
Today, I won't be trading. My DOM is closed, my broker isn’t logged in—because discipline is key.
Going into the weekend green is more important than trying to force trades on Nonfarm Payroll Day with Fed speakers and tariff bomb headlines swirling around.
Trade smart. Stay disciplined. Protect your capital.
We’ll be back for more action next week. Until then, stay green, my friends!
To learn more about our group, visit: MicrosTrader.com
MORE INFORMATION:
- 📌 Website: MicrosTrader.com
- 📌 YouTube: @microstrader
- 📌 Free Foundations Course: MicrosTrader Academy
SUMMARY:
- ✅ Nonfarm Payroll Friday Brings High Volatility – Markets are set for extreme moves, and traders must be cautious.
- ✅ ATR & Volatility Metrics Indicate Risk – High volatility makes small stop-loss trading difficult.
- ✅ Potential Key Market Moves – Breaking strong levels could lead to a significant drop.
- ✅ LEAP Competition Highlights Risk & Reward – Top traders capitalized on Bitcoin & oil, while capital preservation also ranked highly.
- ✅ Discipline Over Trading – Stay Green! – Closing the week green is more important than forcing trades.
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