ES MES Futures Trading: Key Levels, Tips, Technical Analysis. Friday "AM Briefing"

Preparing ES Emini & MES Micros Traders
For Our Emini and Micros Futures Trading Room



In the latest AM briefing, MicrosTrader emphasizes disciplined setups and risk-managed trading strategies, particularly ahead of high-volatility events like Non-Farm Payrolls. Despite a prevailing downtrend, traders are urged to adapt to intraday opportunities, especially during short covering rallies. The briefing also highlights the value of financed runners and the necessity of understanding your account type. For those seeking real-time insights, a livestream is tentatively planned pending personal obligations. RESOURCES:
            
▶️ Free "Futures Foundations Course"             
▶️ Membership Options      
▶️Youtube Community Updates             
▶️ Website for ES MES Trading Room (Back Up)


TRANSCRIPT:

AM Briefing: Trade with Purpose and Clarity

Presented by MicrosTrader.com — Where Together We Trade Better

Scripture of the Day

“For you are saved by grace through faith, and this is not from yourselves; it is God's gift—not from works, so that no one can boast.”

— Ephesians 2:8-9

Tip of the Day: Wait for Your Setup

Pre-plan your basic setup. What are you looking for in today’s market? As candles develop, the structure might shift slightly. That’s okay—just stick to your plan and wait for your setup to form.

Market Outlook: Non-Farm Payrolls and High Impact Events

Today is Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) day—a no-trade day in my humble opinion. We’re at a level 10 of level 10s in terms of market impact, and Powell is the cherry on top. I’ll be watching, but if I do anything, it’ll only be in a paper trading account.

Looking ahead to next week, we have CPI and FOMC minutes on deck—both are significant events, with CPI likely being another level 10 day.

Trade Recap: Thursday’s Execution & Lessons

During yesterday’s Zoom session, we mapped out key scenarios. I was looking for a short if we could return through the new day opening gap and Sunday open, or bounce off some strong levels.

Although I missed the initial down move, I entered long at 4548.4 during a vengeance-style rebound. I peeled contracts off on the way up because bears remained in control. At the peak, I took a 30-point profit and used that to finance a runner with a -30 point stop—making the trade risk-free.

I ultimately got stopped out after holding for over 3.5 hours. That’s okay—no big deal. This trade was a paper-trade designed to improve my ability to hold financed runners longer.

Chart Analysis & Trader Psychology

We pulled back the chart to look at recent trends. While the overall market is trending down, several intraday sessions this week presented great long opportunities. As day traders, we must focus on what’s happening right now, not just zoomed-out macro trends.

During these countertrend longs, I consistently remind the group: “Longs are counter. Small, if at all. Never make things worse.”

Once the move starts, break levels tell us everything. Even in a downtrend, there are opportunities to go long if price action supports it. Trade the levels in front of you—don’t get stuck thinking you can only short or only long.

Managing Risk and Positioning

If you're trading on an account with an intraday trailing drawdown, you can’t trade financed runners this way—you’ll need an account with cash static or end-of-day drawdowns.

Regardless, the idea is the same: take partial profits to finance a runner and allow yourself a stress-free trade. Sometimes it works beautifully. Other times, like yesterday, you get stopped out—and that’s perfectly fine.

System & Strategy: Trade What’s in Front of You

The best traders adapt to what’s happening right now. The overall market trend might be down, but plenty of recent trades came from strong upward moves during the day.

You need a system that helps you evaluate what trade makes sense now and scalp in that direction. Whether it’s a breakout, short covering rally, or retracement—react accordingly and don’t fight the tape.

Don’t worry if you miss the early move. Find the trade that fits your setup. No trade is a position too.

Final Note: Streaming & Community

I planned to stream during the NFP candle this morning, but I have a dog appointment right before the market opens. If I make it back in time, I’ll go live. If not, family (and furry friends) come first.

To stay connected and catch future streams, subscribe and hit the notification bell on our YouTube channel.

MORE INFORMATION:

Keywords for Futures Day Traders:

MES futures, E-mini trading, Non-Farm Payroll trading, financed runners, short covering rallies, price action, RTH sessions, countertrend trading, drawdown strategy, futures scalping, market structure, break levels, trade planning, long setups, short setups, intraday trading, CPI trading, FOMC minutes, market liquidity, short squeeze, trailing drawdown, pre-market strategy, parabolic moves, daily levels, support and resistance, Zoom trading sessions

SUMMARY:

  • Stick to Your Plan: Always wait for your setup and pre-plan your trades. Adjustments are okay, but consistency is key.
  • Respect the Market Events: Non-Farm Payrolls and CPI are high-impact days. Consider paper trading or sitting out.
  • Trade What’s in Front of You: Don’t get stuck in a long or short bias—trade the price action happening right now.
  • Financed Runners Matter: Using partial profits to fund runners allows for risk-free trades—ideal for swing or breakout setups.
  • Adapt to the Trend: The market is short, but strong intraday rallies offer great long opportunities—don’t miss them due to macro bias.


ADDITIONAL LINKS:






Comments

Popular posts from this blog

ES Emini Futures Strategy: Daily Loss Limit and Leverage

Core ES Emini | MES Micro Scalping Training Strategy

ES Futures Trading Strategy