Weekend Recap: Trader Lessons
Opening Remarks
The week commenced with an emphasis on the power of mapped-out trades. These are described as the most consistent and best trades to take. The speaker stressed the value of preplanning entry and exit points—whether long or short—and the discipline to wait patiently for those setups. This approach, according to the speaker, greatly improves trading outcomes.
News Drivers & Preparation
Key news events for the week included PMI data, a speech from Powell, the Beige Book (despite being a "yellow event," it often behaves like an "orange event"), and the much-anticipated Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report on Friday. Traders were encouraged to plan their trades 30 minutes before market open, conduct mental training 10 minutes prior, and attend periodic live sessions. New members were directed to the free Foundations Course, with incentives to earn badges by mastering primary bounce levels and core strategies.
Runner Trade & Market Analysis (Monday)
The speaker held a runner from Friday, positioned with a stop-loss six points behind a ladder level and 10 points from entry. Overnight action nearly hit the stop, but the trade remained active. The plan was to trail the stop under the new week opening gap if price reached the top of the gap, aiming to secure 40 points.
Market structure indicated heavy "chop" between last week's value area high and low, offering little edge. The Sunday opening level posed a challenge for price to regain. If cleared, the top of the new week opening gap was expected to be targeted.
Tuesday: Journaling, Runner Trades & Execution
The scripture for the day was John 10:10, framing temptation in trading as a thief. Journaling these temptations was encouraged to increase awareness and improvement.
A critical tip was to “keep a runner back,” especially after a successful trade. Traders can often predict where price will bounce but not how far. Keeping a financed runner allows for further upside without additional risk.
News included JOLTS data 30 minutes after open. Monday was a strong day: a 40-point exit from Friday's runner and an additional 30-point trade. A separate overnight short captured 20 points and was treated as a "microwave trade"—quick in, quick out.
Stop-loss indicator updates allowed for ATR-based definitions and leverage metrics. This helps traders understand how many contracts they can trade based on their max loss and stop size. A key insight was that if ES moves 10–15 points against a position, the trade is likely invalid.
The overnight battle plan played out, though the entry wasn’t ideal. Price tested the half-back level and bounced, indicating bullish sentiment. Shorts were considered only below the bull/bear line for gap-fill targets.
Text message alerts for battle plan trades were under development. During live trading, the speaker recapped an overnight short and a missed long that didn’t meet quality standards. They also discussed using fair value gaps to manage trades and profits.
Daily reminders emphasized clean entry levels, testing break zones, backup levels, and avoiding full leverage on shorts. Discipline was highlighted—acting like a sniper who only takes one to three trades a day and avoids impulsive decisions. Stop-losses were presented as informative, not failures, and journaling was again strongly endorsed for growth.
Traders were advised to stay long during bullish conditions and aim for key targets like 77 and 92. Shorting was discouraged unless bulls lost control, as ES tends to trend upward persistently.
Wednesday: Parabolic Moves, Scorecards & Discipline
The daily tip once again was to keep a runner back—one can’t always predict how far price may move. The Beige Book was on deck as the day’s major news item.
Traders were advised to have a specific plan for NFP eve. The journal was promoted as a way to review such days for continuous improvement.
Market structure hinted at a potential parabolic rally. A Bull/Bear Scorecard was in development to assess bias using built-in and user-defined metrics like value area highs/lows and bull/bear lines. Tuesday’s battle plan short trade failed, reinforcing the need to let the market prove itself.
A new high followed by a pullback could create a retest entry opportunity. During live trading, a microwave short was reviewed. The speaker advised avoiding longs into “vomit” moves—aggressive, sharp drops—and described the environment as “slop and chop.”
A short position was also entered in a LEAP (paper) account based on a “reversal box” scenario with potential for a liquidation break. The speaker critiqued trailing drawdown models used by prop firms, suggesting static accounts are more realistic for most traders.
Thursday: NFP Eve and Staying Out of the Way
The briefing focused on the risks of trading on NFP eve, with scripture John 10:10 again used to illustrate trading temptations. The tip of the day: “Can you say no to price action?”
Traders were warned that engaging with subpar price action is unsustainable. Wednesday’s market hugged a key level without actionable signals—it was a “no-trade” day, and that’s okay.
Traders were reminded to make clear rules for special days like NFP eve: “one and done,” “one loss and done,” or don’t trade. Journals include specific fields for NFP eve, helping traders track their performance on such days.
The overnight battle plan had two parts, but no position was taken, expecting deeper movement. The market was basing and potentially setting up for a multi-session reversal box, which carries the threat of a liquidation break.
Advice was to either ladder into longs or use small size to “catch the knife”—never use limit orders during high-risk periods. “Stay out of the way” was the day’s mantra.
The Bull/Bear Scorecard showed the market in upper distribution and slightly favoring bulls, but without session stacking or VWAP bias. Overall, the speaker leaned toward risk-off trading: small size, minimal exposure, and only risking a portion of morning profits if taking a second trade.
Friday: NFP Day, Traps & Precision in ES
This was NFP Friday, the most impactful news day of the week. Scripture remained John 10:10, reinforcing the message of avoiding temptation and impulsive trading.
The tip of the day centered on why ES is the preferred futures instrument over NQ. ES offers precision—clean, consistent bounces and better behavior within structured systems. The speaker's strategy is tailored to ES, producing two to twelve quality setups daily.
Traders were encouraged to avoid trading on both Thursday and Friday if possible. CPI was mentioned as the next major upcoming catalyst. The speaker pointed out that their YouTube content essentially serves as a free trial for new traders.
Reviewing recent trades, Thursday included a 10-point profit on one micro contract, followed by a tight 4-point risk on the next trade. Reversal risk was high, and the market was labeled as “trap the trader galore”—making counter-trend trades especially hazardous.
The Bull/Bear Scorecard was now integrated into the Strong Levels indicator, giving real-time bias using inputs like Sunday open, daily open, overnight high/low, and volume structures. Custom levels could also trigger alerts for market control shifts.
The speaker hoped for a strong sell-off to then look long, but the opening push faded into chop. A narrow opening range of under 13 points in the first 30 minutes was a red flag—it often signals a no-trade day.
Live trading advice included waiting for clean levels, avoiding “prediction trading,” and taking counter-trend shorts with caution. Quick profits on shorts were to be taken immediately, as bigger wins were unlikely. The speaker advised not adding to losers and accepting losses with professionalism.
Ultimately, the speaker stepped away due to unattractive price action and a lack of edge, noting that the market stayed above the bull/bear line and previous highs—clearly favoring bulls.
Weekly Recap
This week highlighted the importance of:
- Discipline and Preparation: Mapping trades, pre-market mental training, and trade planning for news events like NFP.
- Risk Management: Strategic stop-losses, smart leverage, and preserving capital through “runner” positions.
- Market Understanding: Navigating chop zones, bullish trends, and recognizing risky patterns like “reversal boxes.”
- Execution: Differentiating between short “microwave trades” and longer runners, with patience and precise entries.
- Self-Reflection: Consistent journaling as a tool to identify patterns, temptations, and refine strategy.
The market tested traders with volatility spikes and indecisive structure, reinforcing that not trading can often be the best decision.
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: Why is ES preferred over NQ for futures trading?
A: ES (S&P futures) offers more precise, predictable bounces and cleaner structure, making it more compatible with systematic trade setups.
Q: What is the Bull/Bear Scorecard mentioned in the briefings?
A: The Bull/Bear Scorecard is a real-time market bias tool integrated into the Strong Levels indicator, using metrics like VWAP, session stacking, and volume profile data to help traders assess control.
Q: How should traders approach NFP or high-impact news days?
A: Traders should develop a "one and done" plan, use small size, avoid chasing, and journal performance to better manage risk during volatile, low-edge environments.
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