ES MES Futures Trading: Key Levels, Tips, Technical Analysis. Wednesday "AM Briefing"

Preparing ES Emini & MES Micros Traders
For Our Emini and Micros Futures Trading Room



In today's AM Briefing, MicrosTrader.com focuses on key trading levels in the ES/MES futures market, spotlighting the 47–50 resistance zone as a bullish litmus test. Emphasis is placed on trading discipline, volume analysis, and the significance of RTH-created levels over lower-volume overnight sessions. Recent trades showed a strong win ratio, reinforcing strategy confidence among group members. With NQ leading the charge and ES consolidating at highs, the market awaits confirmation of bullish continuation. RESOURCES:
            
▶️ Free "Futures Foundations Course"             
▶️ Membership Options      
▶️Youtube Community Updates             
▶️ Website for ES MES Trading Room (Back Up)


TRANSCRIPT:

Welcome ES MES Futures Traders

Welcome to the AM Briefing video presented by MicrosTrader.com, where together we trade better. Good morning, everybody!

Weekly Scripture

“Do not boast so proudly or let arrogant words come out of your mouth, for the Lord is a God of knowledge, and actions are weighed by Him.” — 1st Samuel 2:3

Tip of the Day: Trading Tips for Day Traders

Today’s Tip: Which levels are the most important by session?

A new member asked this question last night, and I promised to cover it in this AM Briefing. If we don’t get to it fully, we’ll discuss it on Zoom. Specifically, the question was about single prints and fair value gaps—and when they matter most: Asia, London, or New York sessions?

News Drivers

Yesterday, we were live both in the morning and afternoon. Two great trades happened in the morning, but nothing notable in the afternoon. That’s okay—another high-probability trade is just around the corner.

Today is Wednesday, March 26th. One hour before the market opens, we expect Durable Goods data, but not much else besides possible tweet-related noise. It’s a green light trading day—if you'd like to join us, grab a Zoom pass or consider becoming a member.

Yesterday's Review

I slightly changed the format to track our core strategy entries, particularly the first four badges earned in Boot Camp. Yesterday, we added six additional wins to the weekly results, with zero losses. There were a few scratches, with a "three and three" outcome—meaning if you didn’t take the break-even exit, three would have been full winners, and three would have been full losers.

This reflects a long-term pattern: when traders hesitate at the “gift of break-even,” their win rate drops to about 50%. Though 92% of our levels bounce, the moment hesitation kicks in, the odds drop. Mentally, it’s often better to just take the break-even.

ES Chart – Where Are We At?

We’re seeing a bullish pattern:

  • First, a down move.
  • Then, a consolidation.
  • Next, a sharp upward breakout.
  • Now, we’re basing in the upper distribution of this breakout move.

This is bullish, and all eyes are on the 47–50 zone. If the bulls are for real, the next key test is at 5919–5920—a region that could push us into a new chop zone. I even set up a short overnight at that level to test the bulls' conviction.

Should we fail at 47–50, we may retest previous gaps, particularly the top of the previous range. Let’s see how it plays out.

Single Prints By Session

Single prints are a type of fair value gap, and I only give importance to those that occur in Regular Trading Hours (RTH). Overnight sessions (Asia and London) have significantly lower volume, making their levels less reliable.

RTH volume outweighs overnight sessions 10:1 or even 20:1. If I carry anything forward from the overnight sessions, it's the highs and lows, or very clear and crisp 30-minute front sides.

Volume tells us where the battles were fought—RTH dominates. Focus on the levels created during RTH sessions for consistent trading decisions.

Recap: Yesterday’s Key Trades

On Zoom, we reviewed trades including:

  • A short from top to bottom with a take-profit.
  • A long trade I took based on mapped setups.
  • Another long trade that missed me by one tick but caught by others in the group.

The afternoon was junk price action, and we didn't force trades. It’s important as a leader to emphasize patience—you don't need to trade every market wiggle. Wait for mapped-out setups.

Index Summary

At last night’s close, NQ bulls dominated, reaching new highs. We are consolidating in the upper distribution, with NQ leading the way. The Russell bounced from the lows.

Back in ES, the 9450 level is crucial. If lost, it could lead to strong moves. Bulls are defending it hard, and any break back into the range could be significant. Keep an eye on 47–50 for short opportunities and range bottoms for long entries.

We’re currently in five sessions of chop at the top of a breakout. Stay sharp and disciplined.

Final Words

Wishing you good luck trading today. I’ll see my traders live 30 minutes before the market opens.

Stay Green, my friends.

To learn more about our group, visit MicrosTrader.com.

MORE INFORMATION:



ADDITIONAL LINKS:






Comments

Popular posts from this blog

ES Emini Futures Strategy: Daily Loss Limit and Leverage

Core ES Emini | MES Micro Scalping Training Strategy

ES Futures Trading Strategy