25-30 Point MES Micros Short
🗓️ THU/FRI
MES MICROS TRADE PLAN
Posted: Thursday March 12, 2026
Key Market Events & Calendar
The session occurred the day after CPI release, with several important events approaching that will maintain Level 10 volatility conditions into the following week.| Date | Event | Significance |
|---|---|---|
| Today | Unemployment Claims | Post-CPI follow-up data |
| Tomorrow | PCE & JOLTS | Critical inflation/employment metrics |
| Tuesday | ES Rollover | TradingView contract transition |
| Next Friday | Quad Witch OPEX | Options expiration volatility |
| Next Wednesday | FOMC Meeting | Federal Reserve policy decision |
Battle Plan Trade Reviews
Three Battle Plan trades were published overnight with detailed execution notes and risk management updates provided for active positions.- Battle Plan 1: Discontinued - no longer interested in this trade setup based on overnight price action analysis.
- Battle Plan 2: Required "snappy quick ladder back price action" for entry - setup did not present cleanly and was skipped, preventing trader risk.
- Battle Plan 3: Successfully activated with entry at strong level of 6742, providing 25-point profit opportunity for traders who survived the 20-minute retest period.
Technical Analysis & Level Management
Current market structure showed price trading below previous day low with multiple retests of key technical levels creating future setup opportunities.- Previous Day Low: Price dropped below and retested this level multiple times, indicating potential weakness.
- VWAP Proximity: Market approaching VWAP loss, which would create additional bearish momentum signals.
- Strong Level 6742: Served as both resistance and retest point, proving "very tricky" for short positions as predicted.
- Range Loss: Battle Plan 2 targeted return to range that had been lost, setting up potential retest scenario.
Risk Management & Position Sizing Strategy
The instructor detailed specific risk management techniques for Level 10 volatility conditions, emphasizing surgical position sizing and profit protection methods.- Stop Loss Management: Two-point stop loss recommended for Battle Plan 3 to survive the retest period without premature exit.
- Three-Contract System: Scale out of first two contracts at predetermined levels, hold runner for extended moves with trailing stops.
- Stop Relocation: Move stops behind strong levels immediately after price breaks through, locking in profits while allowing for continuation.
- Small Profit Accumulation: Accept smaller 10-15 point wins that "add up" rather than seeking large single moves in choppy conditions.
"Everything should be small and surgical. Sometimes they're just smalls, but smalls add up."
COMMON QUESTIONS FOR ES FUTURES TRADERS
What is Level 10 volatility and why does it require different trading approaches?
A: Level 10 refers to the highest volatility environment classification used by MicrosTrader. In these conditions, everything should be "small and surgical" with reduced position sizes and tighter risk management to account for unpredictable price swings and extended consolidation periods.
How should traders handle the upcoming ES rollover on TradingView?
A: The ES contract rolls over on Tuesday, which means TradingView will automatically switch to the new front month contract. Traders should be aware of this transition and ensure their charts and data feeds update accordingly to maintain accurate technical analysis.
What is the three-contract system mentioned for Battle Plan trades?
A: This is a scaling strategy where traders enter with three contracts, take profits on the first two at predetermined levels, and hold a "lotto runner" for extended moves. This allows capturing quick profits while maintaining upside potential for larger moves.
How long should traders expect to hold positions during Level 10 conditions?
A: Based on Battle Plan 3, traders may need to survive 20+ minutes of price retesting entry levels. The key is using appropriate stop losses (like the 2-point stop mentioned) that allow for normal volatility without getting stopped out prematurely.
What does "snappy quick ladder back price action" mean for trade entries?
A: This refers to clean, decisive price movement that quickly returns to a key level after an initial move away. If price action appears sluggish or choppy during the setup phase, it's better to skip the entry rather than force a trade in poor conditions.
When should stops be moved behind strong levels?
A: Immediately after price breaks through a strong level, traders should relocate their stops to just above (for shorts) or below (for longs) that level. This locks in profits while allowing the trade to continue in the intended direction.
Why might Battle Plan trades be discontinued or updated overnight?
A: Market conditions change overnight based on news, economic data, or price action developments. Battle Plans are updated with new notes to reflect current conditions, ensuring traders have the most relevant information for the upcoming session.
How should traders prepare for Quad Witch and FOMC next week?
A: Both events typically increase volatility. Quad Witch (options expiration) can create unusual price movements, while FOMC provides policy direction. Traders should maintain smaller position sizes and be prepared for increased volatility during these events.
What profit targets are realistic in Level 10 conditions?
A: The session showed examples of 10-25 point moves being realistic targets. Rather than seeking large single moves, traders should focus on accumulating smaller consistent profits that "add up" over time in volatile conditions.
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