AM Briefing #805: Holding A Runner Beats Hunting A Fresh Long
AM BRIEFING
ES CHART | KEY LEVELS | SETUPS
ES Technical Analysis — AM Briefing 805 Timeline
Tuesday July 7, 2026
| TIME | CHAPTER |
|---|---|
| 0:00 | Welcome ES MES Futures Traders |
| 5:01 | Scripture & Free Tuesday Livestream Opening scripture and the plan to become the trainer you're meant to be. Free Tuesday livestream runs as if you're a full member, plus a note on tomorrow's FOMC Minutes. |
| 5:55 | Live 30 Minutes Early Today Today's stream starts 30 minutes before the open to walk through the newest release and latest features. |
| 6:16 | Tip Of The Day: Price Action Personality Price action has its own personality and your preferences matter. You may hate today's read and love tomorrow's. |
| 7:01 | Trade Review: Yesterday's Ugly Range Recap of the choppy Monday-after-holiday session. The vision and location were correct, reaching two of three RTH high targets for 10 to 20 points. |
| 8:29 | Strong Levels Scorecard How the week's most important levels have performed since Sunday — clean bounces off top and bottom and a sticky strong level into the close. |
| 9:13 | The System In A Nutshell Fewer, higher-quality pre-planned trades, risk-first entries with the 3-Contract System, holding the model runner, and journaling progress. |
| 9:58 | Battle Plan Basics: Check Your Dates Pin the indicator to your right scale and verify both dates. A stale TradingView indicator from last week maps you onto dead levels. |
| 12:09 | Overnight Battle Plan 1: The Long A low-confidence long defending the range activated overnight, took three points of heat, then ran about 10 points. |
| 14:08 | Overnight Battle Plan 2: The Short A short off the same 7475 level — the Sunday strong range low. Bounce, loss, backtest, roughly 12 points before returning to the bottom. |
| 16:18 | Trade Coach & Journaling Release George is stoked on the new Trade Coach and Trader Profiles. Traders who journal, track, and review become better traders. |
| 17:17 | Who Controls? Bulls Control Bulls control the tape. Shorts are microwave trades, longs are the oven trade, and July seasonality favors holding a long runner from a good entry. |
| 18:46 | Location: Upper Distribution, No Fresh Long Yet Price sits in the upper distribution of the last three days — not an exciting long. George wants a pullback toward the trend line for a cleaner entry. |
| 19:31 | Not All On The Same Train NQ prints new highs while the indices diverge. Dow or NQ could turn and catch the other short. Live stream begins in 15 minutes. |
MES MICROS TRADE PLAN
Traders Who Journal Become Better Traders
Posted: Tuesday July 07, 2026
Tuesday's session opens with a simple truth… price action has its own personality, and you may not like the one it wears today. Yesterday was ugly, choppy, back-and-forth chop the day after a long holiday, yet the vision was correct and the levels held. The real story this morning is discipline and process… two overnight Battle Plan trades activated while America slept, Bulls still control, and George is still hunting a clean long entry rather than forcing one from a bad location. The centerpiece: journaling. Traders who journal, track, and review become better traders, and the new Trade Coach release is built to make that happen. This MES micro futures trade plan is about staying patient at the right ES futures key levels and letting the process do the work.
PRICE ACTION HAS ITS OWN PERSONALITY
Tip of the day… price action has a personality, and your preferences matter. Some days you look at the ES and you do not like what it is showing you. Yesterday was one of those days.
It was Monday after a long holiday. Those days rarely turn into great trading days. We were looking to break into the same range we had tried two or three times before… and each time it got rejected. Yesterday it fought us again with disgusting, back-and-forth chop.
But here is the point. The VISION was correct. Were we looking for the right trade? Yes. The right location? Yes. Price eventually reached two of the three RTH high targets, falling just short of the third… somewhere in the 10 to 20 point zone if you were willing to sit through the heat. Tomorrow the personality could flip completely… it could be the redhead of your dreams.
Trader Lesson 1
A correct vision and correct location can still hand you an ugly day. Judge the trade by the process, not by how pretty the price action felt getting there.
TWO OVERNIGHT BATTLE PLAN TRADES ACTIVATED
Two Battle Plan trades from last night's plan activated while we were staring at the backs of our eyelids here in America. Both were smalls, but we take it. Remember… you never have to engage either one.
- Battle Plan 1️⃣ — the long: Bulls defending the range again, the exact range we traded yesterday. The note said it plainly: take it SMALL, require snappy ladder back price action, confidence was not high. Price came down into the zone, overshot the strong range a touch, gave up about three points of heat… then ran roughly 10 points.
- Battle Plan 2️⃣ — the short: A short off the same level. The note flagged that losing 7475 — the low of the strong range drawn Sunday — could get violent. Price came into the bottom of the strong range, bounced, lost the level, backtested it, and moved about 12 points before returning to the bottom.
On the short, George wanted a BIGGER bounce before engaging… a bigger bounce makes that trade more valid. Both plans confirmed the mapping was right, even if neither was a monster.
Trader Lesson 2
Low-confidence setups get low-confidence size. Small entries with a required trigger — snappy ladder back, a bigger bounce — keep you in the game when the read is uncertain.
CHECK YOUR INDICATOR DATES — PRE-FLIGHT CHECKLIST
Whether you are a Battle Plan member or a full member, you get two indicators. And there is a mistake George sees over and over… one trader had it just yesterday. They were running an OLD Battle Plan indicator from last week without knowing it.
How it happens: one copy of TradingView on your main computer, another on your laptop. They do not communicate well. The laptop pushes a stale indicator onto your main chart. The fix is a pre-flight checklist item every session:
- Hard refresh or reload TradingView if anything looks off.
- Pin the indicator to your right scale. Without it, the lines will not even show.
- Check BOTH dates. The Battle Plan indicator carries the effective RTH date (Monday/Tuesday). The Strong Levels indicator carries its own date — the most recent Sunday, July 5th.
Confirm you have the Tuesday RTH Battle Plan and the most recent Sunday Strong Levels before the bell. Trading off last week's map is trading blind.
Trader Lesson 3
Verify your indicator dates before every session. A stale Battle Plan from last week will map you onto levels that no longer exist.
TRADERS WHO JOURNAL BECOME BETTER TRADERS
George is stoked. Three or four hours of sleep at a time over a three-day weekend, building and dreaming about the new release… Trade Coach and Trader Profiles. The tool is designed to do one thing: make you a better trader. And the mechanism is the journal.
- Traders who journal become better traders.
- Traders who track their trades become better traders.
- Traders who review their journal on weekends become better traders.
- Traders who update their trade plan become better traders.
That is the whole system in a nutshell… fewer, higher quality, pre-planned trades. Risk-first, laser-tight entries with the 3-Contract System. Playing perfect chess, holding your model runner to capture the big move, and always looking to add. Then journaling your progress, refining the plan, analyzing your behavioral patterns, and scrutinizing your performance. The full feature-by-feature walkthrough runs 30 minutes before the open on the livestream.
Trader Lesson 4
The edge compounds off the page. Journal it, track it, review it on the weekend, and update your plan… that loop is what turns a trader into a trainer.
BULLS CONTROL — BUT WHERE IS THE FRESH LONG?
Who controls right now? Bulls control. Bulls control, bulls control, bulls control. Expecting anything different is going to be difficult. Does that mean there are no shorts? Of course there are shorts… but treat shorts like microwave trades and treat longs like an oven trade. Bulls control. Shorts are counter. Small, if at all.
The seasonality chart says this is the absolute best time of year to hold a lotto runner… IF you can get a good entry. That is the sticking point this morning. George wanted to be long early for the last leg up, but Bulls Control did not quite fire, and the 3-Contract System stop — kept 5 to 10 points under the lows — would have taken you out around NFP. No big deal, you are out.
Where price sits now: Using the London range, we are in the UPPER distribution of the last three days. That is not a location George is excited to buy. He would rather see price come down closer to the trend line and then offer a trade. New highs are printing elsewhere — the NQ is crushing it — but the indices are not all on the same train. Dow could turn and catch NQ short… NQ could turn and catch Dow short. Not everyone is aligned.
Trader Lesson 5
Location is everything. Even with Bulls in control and seasonality on your side, buying the upper distribution is a bad long. Wait for price to come to your level.
"Traders who journal become better traders… traders who review their journal on the weekends become better traders."
COMMON QUESTIONS FOR ES FUTURES TRADERS
Why does Micros Trader say price action has its own personality?
A: Each session's ES futures price action behaves differently — some days chop and reject at key levels, other days trend cleanly. You may dislike today's personality, like yesterday's ugly, back-and-forth range, and love tomorrow's. The point is to accept the character of the day rather than force it to be something it is not.
What is a Battle Plan trade and do I have to take it?
A: A Battle Plan trade is a pre-planned, mapped setup published by MicrosTrader with a specific level, direction, and confidence note. Two of them activated overnight — a long and a short off the same level. You never have to engage any Battle Plan trade. You can wait for the next one, or wait until price moves to a completely fresh section of the chart.
Why take a Battle Plan trade small?
A: When confidence in a setup is not high, size protects you. The overnight long carried a low-confidence note, so the instruction was to take it small and require snappy ladder back price action before committing. Small size on uncertain reads keeps losses minor while still letting you participate.
What is the 3-Contract System and how does it manage a runner?
A: The 3-Contract System is Micros Trader's core position-sizing framework. You peel off contracts as price moves in your favor — for example scaling out 10 and 10 points — then hold the final lotto runner at break-even to capture a bigger move. On the overnight short, that would have banked about 20 points before price returned and stopped the runner at break-even.
Why check the dates on my Battle Plan and Strong Levels indicators?
A: Running a stale indicator maps you onto levels that no longer apply. The Battle Plan indicator shows the effective RTH date and the Strong Levels indicator shows its own Sunday date. Confirm both before the open, hard refresh TradingView if needed, and pin the indicator to your right scale or the lines will not even display.
Why can two copies of TradingView show the wrong levels?
A: If you run TradingView on both a main computer and a laptop, they do not sync cleanly. A stale Battle Plan indicator on the laptop can push last week's version onto your main chart without you noticing. Hard refresh or fully reload TradingView, then verify the dates as a pre-flight checklist item.
What does "Bulls control, shorts are counter, small if at all" mean?
A: It means the dominant bias is long, so shorts are counter-trend trades that should be taken small or skipped entirely. Micros Trader frames it as longs being the oven trade you let cook and hold, while shorts are microwave trades — quick and short-lived.
Why is this a good time of year to hold a lotto runner?
A: The seasonality chart shows early July as one of the best windows of the year to hold a long runner — but only from a good entry. A lotto runner is a speculative extended position held after scaling out, aiming to capture a large directional move when the seasonal and structural odds favor it.
Why avoid going long in the upper distribution?
A: Buying in the upper distribution of a multi-day range means chasing price near the top, which is poor location even when Bulls control. Micros Trader would rather wait for price to pull back toward the trend line and offer a cleaner entry than force a long from an extended spot.
📅 Upcoming This Week
Hit the bell — every AM Briefing and live trading session this week is already scheduled on YouTube:
- Wednesday, Wed Jul 8: AM Briefing · Live Stream
- Thursday, Thu Jul 9: AM Briefing · Live Stream
- Friday, Fri Jul 10: AM Briefing · Live Stream
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📍 Originally published on MicrosTrader.com
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