Play Perfect Chess And Hold The Runner — AM Briefing #806
AM BRIEFING
ES CHART | KEY LEVELS | SETUPS
ES Technical Analysis — AM Briefing 806 Timeline
Wednesday July 8, 2026
| TIME | CHAPTER |
|---|---|
| 0:00 | Welcome ES MES Futures Traders |
| 4:49 | Episode 806 & This Week's Scripture Opening the 806th briefing with the weekly scripture and a prayer for traders to become the triggers they were meant to be. |
| 5:25 | FOMC Minutes This Afternoon FOMC Minutes drop this afternoon. Mark it on your chart with a red vertical line… the Trade Buddy indicator will also remind you it's coming. |
| 5:51 | Tip Of The Day — A Fresh Hand Don't like where price is? No big deal. Every session deals a fresh hand, so wait until price reaches a location you actually want to trade. |
| 6:15 | Yesterday's Trade Review — Battle Plan 2 Short Walking yesterday's mapped Battle Plan 2 short into target and the accidental long off the Battle Plan long area. We're scalpers… no big deal. |
| 8:11 | Perfect Chess & Holding The Runner Playing perfect chess means laddering the short and moving your chess piece level to level, holding a lotto runner toward the expected range. |
| 9:04 | The Overnight Vomit & Iran News Strong Levels defended until Iran headlines heated up… then a 20-point candle dropped, blood on the charts, and the market vomited over 100 points. |
| 9:51 | Battle Plan 3 — Adding To Winners Battle Plan 3 was a prime spot to add to a winning short from the day before, targeting the mapped expected range for the week. |
| 11:00 | The 100-Pointer That Pays Your Membership One or two Battle Plan trades a week can run 100 points. Holding perfect chess into the expected range books the 100 and the add-on stacks extra points. |
| 12:57 | Stay In Your Winning Trade Already green and short? Ask if you truly need another trade. Usually the better move is staying in the winner rather than hunting a counter. |
| 13:34 | Your Trade Plan Beats The Battle Plan George only holds a short overnight if up over 100 points… that's his rule. Your written trade plan outranks any Battle Plan idea. |
| 14:06 | Updated Indicator & Battle Plan 4 Reclaim The Battle Plan indicator was updated with added trades under the expected range. Battle Plan 4 was the reclaim-the-Strong-Range long. |
| 14:46 | Using The Battle Plan Indicator Click the numbered labels on your chart to pull up Battle Plan notes. Available to members and 7-day free trial traders. |
| 15:17 | Both Shorts Mapped Monday Night Both shorts were mapped on Monday's Battle Plan… one triggered Monday, the second last night. That's where runners really pay. |
| 16:02 | Chart Read — Under The Bull Bear Line We're under previous day lows and the Bull Bear Line, back battling VWAP. The 5-to-7 Strong Level move is likely already complete. |
| 17:54 | Be Careful Initiating New Shorts The big vomit already happened and we tagged the expected range. Chasing a fresh short now is chasing, not mapping. |
| 19:45 | Laddering Back Up & Live Session We made the expected range and are laddering back up. Be careful initiating shorts. Join the live room 15 minutes before the open. |
MES MICROS TRADE PLAN
Play Perfect Chess And Hold The Runner
Posted: Wednesday July 08, 2026
Overnight burned through five Battle Plans and the market already delivered its big vomit… over 100 points down into the expected range for the week. This ES futures morning briefing walks the shorts that were mapped Monday night, the perfect chess play that let one runner pay an entire membership fee, and why chasing a fresh short after the move is already done is the wrong trade. FOMC Minutes hit this afternoon… put a red vertical line on your chart. The lesson of the day is simple… every session deals a fresh hand, so if you don't like where price sits, wait for it to come to a location you DO like.
THE FRESH HAND — WAIT FOR YOUR LOCATION
Yesterday was the perfect example. You looked at price and didn't like it. No big deal. In the Battle Plan 1 and 2 notes it said it plainly… if you don't want to trade this location, wait until price gets to a different one. Every day, every session, the market deals a fresh hand.
You don't chase price you dislike. You let it come to you. The Battle Plan is published the night before for exactly this reason… you get to pre-plan what you want to do, sit on your hands, and only engage when price arrives at a level you mapped.
Trader Lesson 1
Don't like where price is? No big deal… wait. Every session deals a fresh hand, so let price come to a location you mapped instead of forcing a trade where you stand.
PERFECT CHESS — HOLDING THE RUNNER LEVEL TO LEVEL
Both shorts running this week were mapped Monday night. The first triggered Monday. The second came last night. That is where lotto runners can really pay. Playing perfect chess means you get short from the mapped level, take your first ladder, and if you kept a lotto runner… you move your chess piece from level to level as price works down.
You move the piece to the next Strong Level. Then the next. Then you catch the big vomit and move it again… all the way down toward the expected range, where the 100-pointer comes into play. That is the exit you mapped in advance. Price typically travels 5 to 7 Strong Levels on a strong move… and we watch for exactly that.
- First ladder: Your initial short from the mapped Battle Plan level.
- Second ladder: Add at the next mapped location as price confirms your direction.
- Runner: Hold a lotto runner and move your stop with price, piece by piece, toward the expected range.
- Expected range: The mapped destination… a great place to book the 100-pointer.
Trader Lesson 2
Perfect chess is holding the runner and moving your piece level to level toward the expected range. The board is mapped the night before… you just walk it.
STRONG LEVELS DEFEND UNTIL THE NEWS BREAKS THEM
Watch how the Strong Levels behaved. Two mapped levels played out clean. One level defended, defended, defended, defended… until the right news event showed up. Then you got the vomit. Iran news was heating up overnight, and the Battle Plan warned that Iran news can move the market at a moment's notice.
That is the pattern you have to be cognizant of. A level holds and holds and holds. Then a 20-point candle drops out of nowhere… blood on the charts, 12-plus point candles stacking. That is the news catalyst breaking the defense.
Trader Lesson 3
A Strong Level that defends repeatedly breaks when the right news event arrives. Be cognizant of the catalyst… that is where the vomit comes from.
DON'T INITIATE A FRESH SHORT AFTER THE MOVE IS DONE
Here is where traders get hurt. You see the big vomit overnight and think… I've got to get short NOW. But did we already have the big vomit? Yesterday's Battle Plan already moved over 100 points. We already made it to the expected range for the week. Now we're laddering back up.
So would George initiate a NEW short after that? Personally… no. Could we go back down? Yes. Would he welcome it? Sure… the short covering is always the fun trade. But hunting a fresh short after the move already happened is chasing. Be careful initiating shorts when the meat of the move is behind you.
Trader Lesson 4
The big move already happened. Be careful initiating a fresh short after 100-plus points and a tag of the expected range… you're chasing, not mapping.
YOUR TRADE PLAN OUTRANKS THE BATTLE PLAN
George rarely holds a short overnight. He has to be up over 100 points to even consider it… otherwise it is not an option for him. Why? Because that is what his trade plan says. And your trade plan is MORE important than his Battle Plan.
Same logic on adds. He wants a minimum of 20 points of profit before adding to a trade. And if you're short, already green, and price offers a turnaround long… ask yourself the real question. Do you NEED another trade? Or do you just stay in your winning trade? Stay in the winner. When price bumps its head against a Strong Level and pulls back before charging again, THAT can be a clean add… once you're already 20-plus points green.
Trader Lesson 5
Your trade plan outranks any Battle Plan. Stay in your winning trade instead of hunting a new one… and only add when you're already 20-plus points green.
TODAY'S SETUP — FOMC MINUTES AND THE LADDER BACK
We're all under previous day lows, back to battling VWAP, and NQ is battling its previous day low too. Most important read… we're under the Bull Bear Line and back to touching it. We've already run the 5-to-7 Strong Level move, so the big directional leg is likely behind us.
FOMC Minutes drop this afternoon. Put it on your chart… a simple red vertical line works, and the Trade Buddy indicator will remind you it's coming. The Battle Plan indicator was updated this morning with additional trades if price gets under the expected range… look for the "part two" labels if you're a member. Battle Plan 4 was the reclaim-and-long off the Strong Range once price got back above the level. We made it to the expected range for the week… now we're laddering back up. Be careful initiating shorts.
"Every day the market deals a fresh hand… you don't like what price is right now? No big deal, just wait till price gets to a new location."
COMMON QUESTIONS FOR ES FUTURES TRADERS
What does "the market deals a fresh hand" mean in the ES futures morning briefing?
A: It means every session gives you a new set of prices and setups. If you don't like where ES is trading right now, you don't have to force a trade… you wait for price to travel to one of the mapped levels you actually want, because a fresh opportunity comes each session.
What is playing "perfect chess" in the MES micro futures trade plan?
A: Perfect chess is entering a short (or long) at a mapped Battle Plan level, laddering in at the next mapped level, and holding a lotto runner while moving your stop from Strong Level to Strong Level. You walk the pre-mapped board piece by piece toward the expected range instead of guessing.
What is a lotto runner?
A: A lotto runner is a speculative, low-probability piece of your position that you hold well past your first targets, aiming for an extended move. It only works when the board is mapped in advance… you trail your stop level to level and let the big move pay if it comes.
How far does ES futures price usually travel on a strong move?
A: In this session George notes price typically runs 5 to 7 Strong Levels on a good directional move. Once that range is complete, the meat of the move is likely behind you, which changes whether you should keep pressing in the same direction.
Why not initiate a fresh short after a big overnight drop?
A: Because the big vomit already happened. Yesterday's plan moved over 100 points and tagged the expected range for the week. Chasing a new short after the move is complete means entering late while price is laddering back up… that is chasing, not mapping.
Why is my trade plan more important than the Battle Plan?
A: The Battle Plan is a set of mapped ideas… you pick and choose which you take. Your own written trade plan defines your rules… like George's rule to only hold a short overnight if he's up over 100 points. Your plan governs your actual decisions, so it outranks any list of ideas.
When should I add to a winning ES futures trade?
A: George wants a minimum of 20 points of profit before adding. A clean add is when price bumps a Strong Level, pulls back, then charges again. And if you're already green, ask whether you truly need another trade… often the better move is simply staying in your winning trade.
Why do Strong Levels break only after a news event?
A: A Strong Level can defend repeatedly, holding price back over and over. It often takes a catalyst… like the Iran headlines flagged in the Battle Plan… to finally break it and trigger the sharp flush, or "vomit." That is why you respect both the levels and the economic calendar.
What is FOMC Minutes and how should I prep my chart for it?
A: FOMC Minutes is the released record of the Fed's last policy meeting and can move ES sharply. Mark the release time on your chart… a simple red vertical line works… so you're not caught off guard. The Trade Buddy indicator will also remind you it's coming.
📅 Upcoming This Week
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- Thursday, Thu Jul 9: AM Briefing · Live Stream
- Friday, Fri Jul 10: AM Briefing · Live Stream
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📍 Originally published on MicrosTrader.com
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