ES MES Futures Trading: Key Levels, Tips, Technical Analysis. Wednesday "AM Briefing"

Preparing ES Emini & MES Micros Traders
For Our Emini and Micros Futures Trading Room



Markets are poised for potential volatility as traders anticipate Nvidia's earnings report after the closing bell. ES and MES futures remain under bearish control, with lower highs and lower lows defining recent price action. Key technical levels, including the bull-bear line and RTH gap at 0975, serve as crucial pivot points for traders navigating the session. With the risk of a short-covering rally looming, traders are exercising caution, closely monitoring market structure, and preparing for rapid shifts in sentiment. RESOURCES:
            
▶️ Free "Futures Foundations Course"             
▶️ Membership Options      
▶️Youtube Community Updates             
▶️ Website for ES MES Trading Room (Back Up)


TRANSCRIPT:

Welcome ES MES Futures Traders

AM Briefing Video

Welcome to the AM briefing video presented by MicrosTrader.com, where together we trade better!
Good morning, everyone, and happy Wednesday, February 26th.

This Week's Scripture

1 John 3:16

"This is how we have come to know love: He laid down His life for us. We should also lay down our lives for our brothers."

Tip of The Day: Trading Tips for Day Traders

Take the L—contained losses are recoverable. Don't let a single trade hurt you. If you’re wrong, put your stop, get out, and wait for the next high-probability entry. You will do better than holding onto a losing trade, hoping and praying it comes back. Traders who can't take a loss won’t be traders for long.

News Drivers

Today's key news driver is Nvidia earnings after the close. Will we just chop around and hardly do anything today? It's very possible.

Today is a green trading day, and I look forward to trading live with my traders. We will be live 30 minutes before the market opens for our mental training session.

Additionally, I may stream more times this afternoon, as I did yesterday. Make sure to subscribe to the channel and hit the notification bell so you'll be notified when I go live. I'm testing some new things that might be completely different from what anyone else is doing on YouTube—so stay tuned!

Yesterday's Review

In yesterday’s AM briefing, I pointed out strong levels and the "Watch Out Below" zone, which was under the overnight low. That turned out to be a very accurate statement!

During the live trading session on Zoom, we mapped out price movements to key levels. Price eventually reached one of our strong levels and then made a solid move up. However, it was not an easy trading day. I went long at one point, but a small wick took me out. I finished the day green, though the gains were nothing significant.

ES Chart - Where Are We At?

  • We had a high time-frame trendline that we tested yesterday and overnight.
  • After breaking above it, we have continued moving north.
  • For the past two days, I’ve said the risk of short covering is high—and that remains true.
  • The bull-bear line (available to members) is a key level to watch.
  • If we get above, retest, and backtest this daily trendline, shorting becomes much riskier.
  • London session did not take out Asia's high or low, which is unusual.

At this moment, all major indices are above VWAP and in the upper distribution—something to take note of.

Key Levels to Watch

  • Bull-Bear Line – A critical pivot point.
  • London Low & Asia Low – These are important reaction points.
  • Halfback at 65 – Key retracement level to monitor.
  • RTH Gap at 0975 – A potential magnet for price action.

Even though we have retraced most of yesterday’s down move, every push higher has been sold. This is not a bullish sign.

ES Chart Part II - Who Controls the Market?

  • Right now, bears control the market.
  • Until we ladder above RTH highs, the bias remains short.
  • We are making lower highs and lower lows—the longest bearish control period in a while.
  • If you’re not comfortable trading a bearish market, be cautious.
  • Short squeezes tend to be fast and violent, so stay alert.

Final Thoughts

Bears remain in control until proven otherwise. If we start taking out RTH highs and making higher highs, then we can reconsider the long side. However, for now, caution is required.

Good luck trading today! I look forward to trading live with you all. Stay green, my friends!

MORE INFORMATION:

SUMMARY:

  • ✅ Market Outlook – Nvidia earnings are the main driver today; expect possible chop until then.
  • ✅ Bearish Control – The market remains under bearish control, with lower highs and lower lows.
  • ✅ Key Levels – The bull-bear line and RTH gap at 0975 are critical to watch.
  • ✅ Trading Strategy – Longs remain tricky unless we break above RTH highs; short squeeze risk is high.
  • ✅ Live Trading & Education – Join us 30 minutes before the open for live trading and mental training.

Wall Street Journal-Style Summary

Markets are bracing for Nvidia earnings after the close, with ES and MES futures traders closely watching key levels. The market remains under bearish control, making longs risky unless RTH highs are taken out. The bull-bear line and RTH gap at 0975 serve as critical reference points for traders. With volatility on the horizon, traders are preparing for potential short-covering rallies and staying alert for rapid market shifts.



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