Mon AM Briefing: Emini / Micros Morning Prep for Our S&P Trading Community

Mon AM Briefing: Today’s Game Plan for Emini & Micro Traders Inside the Room

The S&P futures market opened in line with expectations following a gap-down, ladder-back scenario discussed in the previous night’s livestream. Traders are advised to remain cautious as the index sits in the “muddy middle” of a 40-day range, with critical resistance and support marked near 6106 and 5897. Market-moving events such as PMI data, home sales, and upcoming remarks from Fed Chair Jerome Powell could trigger significant volatility. Participants are urged to trade with discipline and prioritize risk management, especially in light of recent geopolitical tensions.
📚 RESOURCES
📄 TRANSCRIPT

Opening Remarks

Good morning, everybody. Welcome to the AM briefing brought to you by MicroTrader.com, where together we trade better. We are an ES/MES futures trading room where you will learn to draw solid levels and trade with superb discipline—and yes, it’s true, together we trade better.

"Be serious, be alert. Your adversary the devil is prowling around like a roaring lion looking for anyone he can devour."

Weekly Scripture

I love that scripture. It's such vivid imagery, and when you're trading the charts, the devil is prowling—looking to tempt you. What is your temptation of choice that you must guard yourself against?

Tip of the day: Did you do a thorough pre-flight? Just like a pilot with 30 years of experience, check every single item before each trading session.

Essay Format Questions

  1. How did you respond to your worst trade today?

News and Events

Today, we’ve got some PMI data 15 minutes after the market opens, and 30 minutes after the open we also have some existing home sales data. Then Powell “powders his nose” over the next two days.

Chart Analysis & Market Overview

If you were with us last night on the livestream, we were looking for longs only. We were anticipating a gap-down, ladder-back scenario—and that’s exactly what happened. Once the selling pressure ended, it turned into a slow grind up. The last thing you want to do is short a boring market—so be careful with that.

I was really hoping we’d get a bit of a flush where I could get long, but that didn’t happen, so I didn’t jump on the train. I did take one long last night—made three points. It is what it is. Green is green, and we’ll see what today presents.

Broad Market Structure

Let’s zoom out a bit. Where are we really? If I were to draw a range, I’d mark it between roughly 6106 and 5897. You can use an hourly chart—it doesn’t really matter. If you're in my group and using our Fib settings, you'll recognize these levels. Essentially, the closer you get to the top of the range, the more cautious you should be with longs.

This is the middle of a multi-day range—about 40 days, to be exact.

If you want a no-trade zone, the muddy middle between 6026 and 5977 is your area of caution.

Oil & Market Reaction

Oil had a monster gap up last night and gave it all back. ES and NQ gapped down, filled the gap, and are now holding at halfback. We are sitting in the middle of Friday’s range. It’s not bearish, but with Powell speaking this week, be ready for sudden 25–50 point moves.

Trade with a stop. If you catch a big move in your favor—take profit, close your DOM, and walk away.

Strong Level Indicator & Final Notes

I also published the strong level indicator this morning. I was up at 3:30 AM getting that out. If anything changes, I’ll publish an update to YouTube. For now, bulls are in control after the gap down and ladder back. Good luck today, and stay green.

To learn more, visit MicroTrader.com.

Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the "muddy middle" and why should traders avoid it?
A: The muddy middle refers to the price range between 6026 and 5977, a congested zone within a 40-day range where price action tends to chop. It is considered a no-trade zone due to its lack of directional conviction.

Q: What major news events should traders be aware of today?
A: Traders should monitor PMI data releasing 15 minutes after the open, existing home sales data 30 minutes in, and Federal Reserve Chairman Powell’s upcoming remarks this week.

Q: What is the key takeaway from last night's trading setup?
A: The market followed through on a gap-down, ladder-back setup, favoring long positions as the session ground upward; caution is urged against shorting a slow, low-volatility climb.

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