Tuesday Nov 25: Live ES & MES Trade Prep for Our S&P Futures Trading Room
ES EMINI KEY LEVELS AND SETUPS
Tuesday November 25, 2025
In today's AM Briefing, Micros Trader emphasized the critical importance of pre-defined conviction as the cornerstone of long-term trading success. He likened disciplined decision-making to biblical faith under pressure, warning that emotional reactions such as FOMO can derail even the best strategies. Despite a strong bullish market, the primary trade idea—a counter-trend short—was deferred due to incomplete conditions, underscoring the value of selective participation. Looking forward, December will focus on building structured trade plans using a new software tool, followed by goal-setting initiatives in January.
Opening Remarks
Micros Trader opens the AM Briefing by emphasizing the importance of conviction in trading. He frames conviction not as an emotional response, but as a formal decision made in advance. This concept is central to today’s theme—trading from a position of predetermined clarity rather than reactive emotion.
The Tip of the Day: The Music Analogy
Micros Trader begins with a powerful analogy: "Price action is like music in a club. You either can dance to it, or you can’t. If you don’t like the music, you don’t have to dance."
He advises traders to check in with themselves: “Do you like the price action?” If it feels off—chaotic, dissonant, or unpredictable—then the right move is to not participate. Trading is optional, and forcing trades in confusing conditions often leads to errors. This advice underpins the philosophy that successful trading is not about constant engagement but about waiting for clarity and alignment.
The Furnace Analogy: Trading with Settled Beliefs
A substantial portion of the AM Briefing is devoted to the psychological pressures traders face during high-emotion moments—specifically, FOMO and the urge to act impulsively.
Micros Trader compares these emotional trials to the biblical story of Shadrach, Meshach, and Abednego, who refused to bow to a golden idol even when threatened with a furnace. This serves as a metaphor for market pressure. The "furnace" in trading is the heat of watching the market run without you, seeing other traders post massive gains, and feeling the inner voice scream, “You’re missing out!”
The solution is having convictions settled in advance. As he puts it: “The trader who waits until the emotional heat of FOMO to decide whether they’re going to honor the rules has already lost the battle.” This is why the trading plan is essential—it is “your conviction documented in advance.”
Micros Trader adds that decisions made while “drunk with trading” are inherently poor. Strategic decisions must be made sober—before the first sip of price action. He encourages traders to perform an exercise: write down three non-negotiable trading rules, sign and date them, and read them aloud before each session.
Market Context: Bullish Dominance and Missed Setups
From a market analysis standpoint, the dominant theme is strong bullish momentum. A “Battle Plan Two” setup from Sunday anticipated a dip, but the market invalidated the idea and instead launched into a parabolic move. This was confirmation: the bulls are in control.
Traders were told clearly: “Don’t short this now. Just let it go.”
Micros Trader reviews a missed opportunity—a long trade closed early on Friday. Had the runner been held, it would have resulted in a 200-point gain. “It cost me a 200 pointer. And all I would have to do was nothing,” he admits. On Monday, he also hesitated on a 50-point long setup, only taking a 10-point scalp short. The takeaway: “Sometimes, it’s just not my day.”
Managing Disorganized Price Action
Micros Trader critiques the current price action as "trashy" and "disgusting." A sudden 20-point candle appeared out of nowhere. He notes there’s no level development and nothing to anchor trades.
The strategy here is to shift to a higher timeframe chart, such as a 10-minute chart. This helps filter out noise and reduces the temptation to engage with chaotic action. It’s a tactical move to preserve clarity and patience.
News Protocols and Market Reaction
The AM Briefing outlines clear guidelines for handling economic data events like the PPI and retail sales. These time periods are marked as “no trade zones.” If already in a profitable trade, traders can either exit or hold through only if there’s significant embedded profit.
This morning, PPI and retail sales came in line with expectations. The result: “no reaction.” The market essentially ignored the news.
Community Focus and Software Announcement
Looking ahead, December will be a community-wide focus on building a trade plan. A 21-day series of “Tip of the Day” lessons will walk traders through how to craft their own formal trading plan.
Micros Trader also announces a new tool: the Trade Plan Builder. This tool will be integrated into the trader meditation software and will guide users through a structured, printable plan format. The long-term goal is integration with journaling, allowing traders to compare daily decisions against their pre-written rules.
In January, the focus will shift to goal-setting for the new year. But, as emphasized, goal planning is only effective if a trader already knows their rules.
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