Monday Dec 29: Preparing ES Emini and MES Micros Traders To Trade In Our S&P Trading Room
Best ES Emini Setups
Monday December 29, 2025
In Monday’s AM Briefing, Micros Trader identified 6952.50 as the defining bull-bear line for the week, marking a key inflection point for market control. With the NQ leading a downside move and ES slipping below Friday’s low, the market’s tone is increasingly bearish, though not yet fully broken. Traders are urged to exercise discipline, particularly around position sizing, contract management, and profit-taking strategies within a structured execution system. Given the shortened holiday week and muted economic calendar, Micros Trader issued a strong caution against overtrading or speculative risk-taking.
Opening Remarks
In today's AM Briefing, Micros Trader focused on a key technical level that could define the week’s directional bias. That level is 6952.50, labeled the “bull-bear line.” Micros Trader emphasized that the market's posture is currently bearish, describing this zone as a “warning shot to bulls.” The NQ has been the clear leader on the downside, with ES just beginning to break Friday’s low.
The Bull-Bear Line: 6952.50
The most important technical marker this week is 6952.50. Micros Trader stated this is the bull-bear line, and the week’s directional control will likely hinge on how price interacts with it.
- If the market convincingly loses this level — what Micros Trader described as “with a vengeance” — it could lead to a strong downside continuation.
- On the flip side, if bulls defend this level and get back above what’s described as a “strong level,” then we could be off to the upside.
At present, price is hovering just underneath this bull-bear level, and Micros Trader cautions that the bears have effectively “fired a warning shot.”
Current Market Posture and Price Action
The overall structure has been described as “laddering down,” especially with the NQ showing relative weakness. The ES is just under Friday’s low, but if it were still inside that range, we’d still be calling this structure bullish. However, with the ES now pressing below that low and the NQ leading lower, there’s increased pressure on the long side.
Micros Trader points out that while we’re seeing signs of weakness, we haven’t yet confirmed a full bearish breakdown — that would only occur if the bull-bear line is lost definitively.
Trade Management: Current Positions and Strategy
For those already in short positions, Micros Trader referenced prior mapping that suggested profit targets at the second battle plan, which would have yielded roughly 20 points. If you’re holding a runner, you now need to closely monitor the 6952.50 bull-bear line.
If you are not in a position, Micros Trader advises against initiating a new short here. “To me, the trade is: you're already short, or you're flat and waiting.” There’s no edge in chasing the market now.
Micros Trader does offer a scenario for adding to a winning short: let price bounce off the bull-bear line, and if it fails again — slamming back underneath — that could be an opportunity to scale in further.
There was also a missed opportunity last night: a potential short from 86 to 88 with an entry that didn’t quite fill — price reached 85. Another short considered was 98 with a stop at 03, but that was ultimately skipped. The takeaway: “Not every move is your move on your terms.”
Trade Plan Builder: Execution System and Risk Management
Micros Trader emphasized the importance of using a disciplined execution and risk management system, ideally created using the Trade Plan Builder.
Key questions traders should pre-answer include:
- What times is your platform or DOM turned on or off?
- Are you using a three-contract system for scaling out?
- Is your account type compatible with holding runners (EOD vs. static drawdown)?
- Do you have rules for adding contracts to your first entry?
Contract Sizing and Profit Targets
Contract sizing dictates trade flexibility:
- One-Contract Traders: If you’re short with just one contract, your two choices are:
- Exit just before the bull-bear line.
- Exit at the mapped level, where price bounced previously.
- Multi-Contract Traders: If you’re trading three contracts, Micros Trader recommends taking profit on the first two for 20 points each and holding the last as a runner, aiming for targets around battle plan four or five. Having multiple contracts gives more options and makes more scenarios viable.
Weekly Context and Calendar
The week is expected to be slow due to the holiday schedule. The economic calendar includes:
- Monday: Pending Home Sales
- This Week: FOMC Minutes and Unemployment Claims
Micros Trader expects only Monday and Tuesday to be active trading days. Wednesday and Thursday will likely be very quiet. Friday remains a “maybe.” The warning: “Don’t try to be a hero this week.”
Community Resources and Events
- Daily Battle Plan: Released one hour after the close, unlocked for everyone.
- Live Trading Stream: Public YouTube stream is available Tuesday morning.
- Free Trial: Seven-day trial for access to battle plan and strong levels.
- Group Live Session: Zoom session for group members begins 15 minutes before the open.
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