MES Micros Futures Trading System

The Micro E-mini S&P 500 sits at a critical technical crossroads as it approaches historic peaks ahead of tomorrow’s FOMC statement. While recent bullish momentum secured a notable 100-point gain, the index now faces a dual challenge from its all-time high and a significant daily trend line back-test. Market participants are shifting toward a defensive "perfect chess" posture, bracing for potential bearish intervention in this overextended territory. Immediate volatility is anticipated shortly after the opening bell, driven by key manufacturing and consumer sentiment data.
☀️ AM BRIEFING

AM Briefing: MES/ES Setup and Strategy Analysis

This briefing outlines current market conditions and trading setups for the Micro E-mini S&P 500 (MES/ES) as of Tuesday morning. The market is currently positioned in a pre-FOMC environment, characterized by proximity to all-time highs (ATH) and the successful execution of multiple "Battle Plan" trade setups from the previous sessions.

Market Context and Economic Calendar

The current trading session is defined by its position immediately preceding the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Key data points scheduled for release include Consumer Confidence and the Richmond Manufacturing Index, both expected 30 minutes after the market open.

Strategic Review: Battle Plan Performance

  • 100-Point Move: A primary long position initiated Sunday night reached its target.
  • Level 90: Identified as a critical target; price reached, back-tested, and continued upward.
  • POC (6990): The target for Battle Plan 3 was successfully met.

Technical Analysis and Current Positioning

The market is testing critical structural levels, specifically the All-Time High (ATH) and a significant Daily Trend Line back-test. This juncture is identified as a high-probability zone for bearish intervention, referred to as the "Claws of the Bear."

Tactical Recommendations

Traders holding "runners" are advised to monitor the roll into the ATH. Stop-loss placement for multi-day holds is recommended at 5 to 10 points below recent lows. Discipline is emphasized through the "playing perfect chess" mental approach.

❓ FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS
What is the primary market context for the current MES/ES trading session?
The market is in a pre-FOMC environment, trading near All-Time Highs and back-testing a significant daily trend line.
What are the key economic indicators to watch this morning?
Traders should monitor Consumer Confidence and the Richmond Manufacturing Index, both releasing 30 minutes after the RTH open.
Where is the "Claws of the Bear" reversal zone identified?
The high-probability zone for a bearish reversal is at the intersection of the daily trend line back-test and the proximity to the All-Time High.
📚 RESOURCES FOR FUTURES TRADERS

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